I see no reason to pick Watt. I doubt that anyone would agree with me, but I actually expect Vince Biegel, his teammate OLB, is going to be a more productive player overall than Watt and we could possibly get him in the 3rd. IMO I think he's worth a 2nd. When you look at his senior year stats, they are injury deflated and even being injured, he still put up more pressures than Watt. Makes me think that helped Watt record some of the sacks that he did. Hell, Vince put up the 2nd most pressures out of all the OLBs in the draft this year. If my stats are correct. Anyway, his junior year stats are very impressive and show what he can do without being injured. I think he provides more value than watt and a lower price tag. Unless Charles falls, I hope they take a Corner in the first.
In my opinion, you're talking about two good options.
Watt, with his superior athleticism and big frame, is worth the first round pick to me.
Biegel is no slouch in his own right and would be a great value in Rd 3 if they went another direction earlier. He is arguably more advanced in his pass rush technique, having spent more time at the position. However, he doesn't have Watt's upside and, despite Watt's inexperience, never matched Watt's 2016 production at any point.
Captain shared PFF's numbers. Here are cfbstats' for consideration:
Watt: 11.5 sacks, 4 TFL, 13 hurries
Biegel: 4 sacks, 2 TFL, 7 hurries