I want to break down the end of half Brady to Miller TD.
At the 1:24 mark (Best view) Packers are in a 2-4-5 Dime Hybrid.
DL is Clark and Z - This is fine.
"LBs" are Preston, Gary, Barnes, and Savage - Why is a guy with a club playing an obvious passing down? Where is Kirksey? Or even Raven? This should have been Kirksey/Raven for Barnes and Amos for Savage.
CBs are King, Jaire, and Sully - This is fine.
Safeties are Redmond and Amos in single high coverage - WHERE IS TRAMON? This should have been Savage and Tramon. Or AT LEAST Savage and Amos.
The personnel use is
questionable to say the least.
Ball is snapped.
From the 1:24-1:30 mark:
Z, Clark, Preston, and Gary rush. They get a decent push. But Gary kinda fouls this up as he and Z choose the same hole. Which could have been by design put probably was a situational football error as Z and Gary essentially negate each other and fall on top of each other in a double stuffed pancake. Had Gary stayed outside the tackle he would have drawn Fournette (who was looking right at him) into pass protection. Instead, Fournette steps up into the pocket and chips Preston, who has an almost PERFECT shot at Brady.
Revert to 0:11 and play to 0:13 mark:
King has Miller.
Sullivan has Godwin.
Savage has Gronk.
Revert back to 1:24 mark and play to 1:30 mark:
Gronk is in to block so he negates Savage. Barnes has a middle zone and kind of roams and rushes(well attempts to) when he sees Gronk isn't on a delayed release but at 1:30 mark the ball is already out.
Jaire takes Evans out of the play. Brady never even looked that way, or if he did it was just with his eyes and not his helmet.
Here's where it goes horrifically wrong:
1:26 to 1:28 mark:
Amos, just like he did later on in the 3rd Quarter, just stares Brady down without getting any real depth. Godwin is already behind him by the time he bails.
0:11 to 0:15 mark:
Sullivan does his best Saban Shuffle and bails. This is exactly what you're supposed to do. The slowest CB on the field(4.60 40) never let Godwin, a much faster WR(4.42 40) get past him as you can see at the 0:15 mark.
0:40 mark:
Redmond is lined up on the right hash on the 19 almost directly on top of Amos who's at the 28 and slightly to the right of the right hash. The ball is placed on the right hash but why 2 safeties would be directly on top of each other (especially given their coverage roles as the play happened) doesn't make sense to me. Had Redmond been on the left hash that would have made sense to me....and possibly changed the results of this play.
1:27 to 1:31 mark:
Just like Amos, Redmond is staring down Brady, meanwhile gaining very little depth. From 1:28 to 1:30, Brady is CLEARLY looking at Miller, and Amos and Redmond are in the ALMOST EXACT same spots they were in before the ball was snapped, just maybe 5-7 yards deeper.
0:40 mark:
King is lined up right on the 35 and Miller is roughly at the 41. The speed difference is not as big as some would claim it to be, King's 4.43 against Miller's 4.39. The cushion is acceptable given situational football.
0:41 to 0:47 mark and simultaneously 0:15 to 0:17 mark:
When the ball is snapped, King is still in his transition phase all the way to roughly the 20 yard line. All the while CONSTANTLY looking back at Brady. It is PHYSICALLY IMPOSSIBLE to run at full speed while your torso is turned.
Redmond comes back into focus and while I get you don't run to where the ball is at in pursuit you run to where it's going, but just like Amos he clearly let the offensive player get on top of him. Had he already been getting adequate depth while angling his backpedal towards Miller in those 2 seconds that Brady looked at him before he released the ball, instead of being 12 yards away from the play he probably would have been no more than 4.
For King as an NFL CB, you have to know your backpedal/shuffle should be no more than 3-5 yards and then flip your hips and run with the WR. As a pro CB, you should also know that the WR will tell you everything that's going on behind you....when he turns his head he's tracking the ball, when he moves his hands up that means the ball is probably right behind you. Then it's up to you to either just put your hands up or turn around and make a play on the ball.
King is 6'3, Miller is 5'9. Even if King just runs next to Miller and does nothing, he probably could have gotten a deflection off his shoulder pads or helmet, or at least prevented Miller from properly tracking the ball and positioning himself for the catch.
For Pettine, I question the personnel and I even further question the scheme in this particular situation. The man coverage was fine, but the what I would call the "double single-high" safety look was perplexing. The only alibi would be that Redmond had no clue what he was doing, he probably didn't.
But for the scheme miscues, the execution on the field was much worse. Redmond and Amos breaking the cardinal rule of Safeties: "don't let anyone past you" and of course Kevin King's abysmal CB fundamentals.
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