Cignetti has of course been great for Indiana but I don't see him as being much of an NFL "prospect" as it were.
He's already 64 and that's old for a first-time NFL coach to begin with. But on top of that he has quite literally ZERO NFL experience... not as a coach or as a player. College-to-NFL transitions have a generally spotty record overall... and that's including the guys who have prior NFL experience and are likely younger too. I'm sure there would be some teams who might be somewhat interested but overall I think it's not an accident that you hear very little league buzz around him. If there were a younger guy who had some league experience getting the same results he would be the hottest name in the cycle IMO
But beyond that he also has an EXTREMELY favorable contract at Indiana right now. He just signed it back in October and it's 8 years, 93 million, but I'm pretty sure the actual value is much higher than that.
He gets a base salary of $500k each year but additional "marketing, promotional, and outside income" push it closer to a total package of $10,000,000 per year.
Every year he gets a $1,000,000 "retention bonus" that jumps up to $1,250,000 starting from 2029.
He got a $250,000 signing bonus, and a $200,000 bonus for any NON-CFP bowl appearance plus an extra $50,000 for a NON-CFP bowl win.
He gets $100,000 for 5 Big 10 wins in a season or $150,000 for 6. Finishing Top 6 in the Big 10 gets him $250,000; finishing 2nd gets him $500,000, and winning the Big 10 is an extra $1,000,000.
And on top of that... $500,000 for making the CFP first round; $600,000 for making the quarterfinal; $700,000 for making the semifinal; $1,000,000 for national runner-up; and $2,000,000 for a national championship.
There is also a buyout that starts at $15,000,000 between now and November of 2026. It drops by 2-3m for the next few years but isn't totally gone until 2032.
AND on top of that he gets a "Good faith market review" after making the CFP which basically says the university has to ensure that so long as he makes the CFP he is paid no worse than 3rd-highest amongst CFP-eligible coaches.
SO with all that considered... at a bare minimum of 10m per year that's already an "upper half" NFL coach's salary. Why would he give all that up to take a job in a totally new league knowing that he will have FAR less guarantees and far less patience? I just don't see it...