Playoff Picture - 2017/18 (Updated weekly - End of Wk 14)

[Darryl Tincknell]

I like to be an optimist when it comes to GB but I agree with gonzo...this team is going to struggle to win a game the rest of the year...as bad as their defense is with all their starters and now with Matthews and Clark out? Good night GB

 

[gonzozab]

I thought the Browns game would still be a win. Now I think it's a coin flip, and that's probably being optomistic.

 

[Pokerbrat2000]

I thought the Browns game would still be a win. Now I think it's a coin flip, and that's probably being optomistic.

Browns may just get their only win of the season, courtesy of the Green Bay Packers.

 

[TouchdownPackers]

UPDATE- Quit dreaming and realize this team has no shot at the playoffs. They had no shot the moment Rodgers's collarbone snapped.

We did have a shot then, but that was five weeks ago. Mathematically, we are still in it - but the eye test and logic say otherwise.

 

[TouchdownPackers]

I thought the Browns game would still be a win. Now I think it's a coin flip, and that's probably being optomistic.

I watched the Browns game today. If we win the TOP and turnover battles, which is what the Jaguars did, we win the game. I am still not worried about it.

 

[ARPackFan]

"Three or four plane crashes and we're in the playoffs."
- John Mckay

 

[XPack]

How the Packers can earn the NFC's No. 5 seed

1. Packers win out to finish 10-6
2. Panthers (9-4) go 1-2 with their only win coming against Atlanta in Week 17 to finish 10-6
3. Seahawks (8-5) go 2-1 over the final three weeks to finish 10-6.

How the Packers can earn the NFC's No. 6 seed

1. Packers win out to finish 10-6
2. Panthers go 1-2 with their only win coming against Atlanta in Week 17 to finish 10-6
3. Seahawks go 3-0 over final three weeks to finish 11-5
4. Rams go 2-1 -- with a loss to Seattle -- over the final three weeks to finish 11-5

Panthers to play Packers, Bucs, Falcons
Seahawks to play Rams, Cowboys, Cardinals
Rams to play to play Seahawks, Titans, 49ers

 

[pfcmsh]

UPDATE- Quit dreaming and realize this team has no shot at the playoffs. They had no shot the moment Rodgers's collarbone snapped.

I'd love if they could make it, but I think you are absolutely right. We are out of the playoffs. I read our odds are 750 to 1. Surprisingly, #12 playing instead of 7, does not improve the odds much.

 

[rmontro]

I'd love if they could make it, but I think you are absolutely right. We are out of the playoffs. I read our odds are 750 to 1. Surprisingly, #12 playing instead of 7, does not improve the odds much.

I agree the odds are slim, but there's a small chance there. You can't give up as long as there is a chance. I heard that if we win out, our odds of making the playoffs improve to 87%. Winning out is a tall order, but if anybody can do it, Rodgers can.

 

[pfcmsh]

You are right on with your thoughts.

 

[gonzozab]

Yes, we can win out, and I expect to, but we just need too much help at this point. I'm actually shocked we're in this position.

 

[Pokerbrat2000]

I posted this elsewhere, but seems like this is the more appropriate place, especially since it seems like many think the Packers playoff chances are bleak.

I read if they run the table (3 games) they are given a 92% chance of making the playoffs.

The Packers are probably going to have to win all three of their remaining games. But if they do, they have a very good chance indeed: 92 percent, according to the Machine.

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/12/13/sports/football/aaron-rodgers-green-bay-packers-playoffs.html

 

[TouchdownPackers]

NFL.com covered the AFC playoff scenarios yesterday. I will post the NFL version of that story after reading it.

 

[Deleted member 6794]

If the Packers win out the team only needs Carolina and Seattle to lose another game for them to make it to the playoffs. That isn't unrealistic taking a look at the remaining schedule at all.

 

[XPack]

Hate to say it, that 3 point Steelers loss might end up the straw that broke the camel's back.

 

[Title Town USA]

If the Packers win out the team only needs Carolina and Seattle to lose another game for them to make it to the playoffs. That isn't unrealistic taking a look at the remaining schedule at all.

It's even better than that, because if Atlanta loses @ New Orleans in week 16, then Carolina plays Atlanta in week 17. In that scenario, either one losing works for the Packers.

 

[Pokerbrat2000]

Most "Playoff scenarios" give the Packers a high probability of making the playoffs....IF they themselves win out. Given that 2 of the 3 games are on the road, 2 are against very good teams (Carolina and Minnesota) and the other on the road against another team that may be fighting to get in (Lions), I would say my doubts are in the Packers being able to win out, not what other teams have to do if they do run the table.

Let's face it, if the Packers do win out, they may be the most feared team entering the Playoffs, if they stumble and lose a game or 2 and get knocked out, they weren't ready to be a playoff caliber team.

 

[Dieseljunkie12]

so explain it to me like i am 4 year old..... what honestly and realistically is the most probable chance (assuming we win out)

Panthers to play Packers, Bucs, @ Falcons (1-2) loss to us and falcons only because
Seahawks to play Rams, @ Cowboys, Cardinals (2-1)
Rams to play to play @ Seahawks, @Titans, 49ers (2-1)
Falcons to play @Bucs, @Saints, Panthers (2-1)

assuming my guesses are correct.....

Panthers- 10-6
Seahawks 10-6
Rams 11-5
Falcons 10-6

would have the tie breakers on the panthers and seahawks
rams win the division
falcons 5 seed
packers 6 seed

feel free to correct me

 

[Pokerbrat2000]

so explain it to me like i am 4 year old..... what honestly and realistically is the most probable chance (assuming we win out)

Hands you a lollipop, pats you on the top of the head and says "Don't worry son, Santa will make it all work out".

 

[gbgary]

dicey...not impossible. can't afford to not have chemistry from minute one.

 

[Pokerbrat2000]

You must be logged in to see this image or video!

 

[Poppa San]

Seahawks to play Rams, @ Cowboys, Cardinals (2-1)

I haven't written the Cowboys off, especially at home with the return of Zeke. They are in the same situation as GB.

 

[TouchdownPackers]

I haven't written the Cowboys off, especially at home with the return of Zeke. They are in the same situation as GB.

They finish the season at Philadlelphia. That is not exactly an easy task even against a backup QB.

We own the HTH tiebreaker against them, so I am not worried. I always want the Cowboys to lose anyway because I hate them.

 

[PackAttack12]

They finish the season at Philadlelphia. That is not exactly an easy task even against a backup QB.

We own the HTH tiebreaker against them, so I am not worried. I always want the Cowboys to lose anyway because I hate them.

Cowboys have a chance, but like you alluded to, if the Packers win out, what the Cowboys do is irrelevant.

 

[TouchdownPackers]

Cowboys have a chance, but like you alluded to, if the Packers win out, what the Cowboys do is irrelevant.

'
Even if we don't win out, Dallas is the least of our problems. It will two NFC South teams or two NFC West teams