Jonathan Gannon new Packer DC

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I am hoping that in the preseason games that MLF opts out of going for it on 4th downs greater than 2 yards in order to give the place kickers the testing. Hope we get to kickoff a bunch as well to see where they land the chip shot.
My math brain says (if time allowed) if a K has 70% chance at that distance you take the points. 66.6% of 3 pts is 2pts on average, so in a game with 8-9 possessions 2pts per try across 3 tries is a TD. My point isn’t a blanket approach, it’s more calculating the return and risk. As a general rule in a lower scoring game (call it under <=19 points you take those 2pts (again we’re talking risk not actual 2pt tries. 3 longer FG’s should bring 6 points or 2pts per attempts. Many times we have the ball last also with :45 sec and 2 timeouts. Which is really like having 1:10-1:20 game clock. That’s plenty of time to get inside the opponent 40 and a 75% chance at a W or 95% chance of a W or OT.

Conversely if it’s mid Q3 and the score is in that 27-27 area we both know Defenses tire more Q4. The chance of a FG (2pt probability) winning a game is thin imo. You might go on 4th and 2.5 yards to go from their 40 yardline. Depends on the game feel and how our D is playing also.

Matt is a grade A playcaller. He’s very average to below average C- assessing risk. I don’t need anyone to tell me about Matt I’ve watched him closely and I don’t know much but i just know what little I know. I’ll tell you who is good. Tony Romo is elite at real time risk. Hate him all we want but he’s quick and highly accurate at risk I’ve witnessed him in the booth and some people have a talent for real time risk and it’s impressive level. Tony should be an advisory coach on game days for us. Guy is brilliant level imo.
Bilicek, Reed and what’s his face that flipped from Tennessee to NE. That guy is a Masters Class in Risk and understanding the Rule Book. He’s made me chuckle I love watching guys that are leagues above everyone else. Rodgers is an honorable mention if not for his supersized ego.
 
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Pokerbrat2000

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And with the goofy, new kick off scenario the chance of injury to your kicker increased exponentially. The days of touchbacks every kickoff prevented that.

While you could be correct. Seems most kickers get hurt....kicking. Most common injuries are hip flexor strains, hamstring, plant foot, etc.
 

milani

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My math brain says (if time allowed) if a K has 70% chance at that distance you take the points. 66.6% of 3 pts is 2pts on average, so in a game with 8-9 possessions 2pts per try across 3 tries is a TD. My point isn’t a blanket approach, it’s more calculating the return and risk. As a general rule in a lower scoring game (call it under <=19 points you take those 2pts (again we’re talking risk not actual 2pt tries. 3 longer FG’s should bring 6 points or 2pts per attempts. Many times we have the ball last also with :45 sec and 2 timeouts. Which is really like having 1:10-1:20 game clock. That’s plenty of time to get inside the opponent 40 and a 75% chance at a W or 95% chance of a W or OT.

Conversely if it’s mid Q3 and the score is in that 27-27 area we both know Defenses tire more Q4. The chance of a FG (2pt probability) winning a game is thin imo. You might go on 4th and 2.5 yards to go from their 40 yardline. Depends on the game feel and how our D is playing also.

Matt is a grade A playcaller. He’s very average to below average C- assessing risk. I don’t need anyone to tell me about Matt I’ve watched him closely and I don’t know much but i just know what little I know. I’ll tell you who is good. Tony Romo is elite at real time risk. Hate him all we want but he’s quick and highly accurate at risk I’ve witnessed him in the booth and some people have a talent for real time risk and it’s impressive level. Tony should be an advisory coach on game days for us. Guy is brilliant level imo.
Bilicek, Reed and what’s his face that flipped from Tennessee to NE. That guy is a Masters Class in Risk and understanding the Rule Book. He’s made me chuckle I love watching guys that are leagues above everyone else. Rodgers is an honorable mention if not for his supersized ego.
Well, it was Romo who made the throw to Dez Bryant at Lambeau which SHOULD have been a 1st and goal or a TD if he had completed the catch going to the ground.
Brady has shown a lot of that as an analyst as well. He preaches to QBs and coaches " Down and Distance. "
 

milani

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While you could be correct. Seems most kickers get hurt....kicking. Most common injuries are hip flexor strains, hamstring, plant foot, etc.
Or you can pull a Martin Grammatica and suffer a muscle tear by jumping up and cheering the great kick you just made.
 
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Or you can pull a Martin Grammatica and suffer a muscle tear by jumping up and cheering the great kick you just made.
Yes. Brady is just really good at many things football. Possibly one of his best traits carried over from his time spent at Michigan. Namely being a High Echelon Finisher. He uses tools such as The GameClock and Field Position as part of that success. He’s a great example of a Strong Finisher. Bill was good but I think that without Tom Brady he wouldn’t have been nearly as successful imo.
 
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