Brian Gutenkunst FA and Draft Grades

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Just disagree for sure. Love has absolutely not been the issue and for sure he has progressed. If talking about MLFer I concur to an extent, dude has a QB that can fully cook if given 40 attempts a game just go let him!
Yes. Love has also cooked without a true WR1. No Offense to Romeo but how many NFL teams is he the automatic WR1?
 

tynimiller

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Yes. Love has also cooked without a true WR1. No Offense to Romeo but how many NFL teams is he the automatic WR1?
Eh handful of them. FTR that isn't a slight IMO, and I am on the outside looking in to the opinion of must have a clear WR1 echelon receiver.

Also FTR, as I've said but don't want folks to see this as a desire or thought that we should have signed Doubs - it was smart and sound logic not spending that money on him for our team. If say Watson never came back from his injury well and Reed or Golden wasn't still here I think paying Doubs would have made a TON of sense.
 

milani

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Just disagree for sure. Love has absolutely not been the issue and for sure he has progressed. If talking about MLFer I concur to an extent, dude has a QB that can fully cook if given 40 attempts a game just go let him!
I will agree that Love has not been the issue. However, he is not Rodgers at this stage in his career. And we should not expect him to be. But after SB 45 Rodgers had better players than Love does even now. Rodgers played on a team that for the most part was sub par defensively except for his first few seasons. Getting the parts right around Love will make for winning more. Matthew Stafford is a great example. He did not just suddenly become an MVP QB by going to LA. He played for a very bad Detroit team for a long time.
 
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Eh handful of them. FTR that isn't a slight IMO, and I am on the outside looking in to the opinion of must have a clear WR1 echelon receiver.
Sure. Success is not definitive as far as possessing a WR1. Although modern history shows having a premier WR is highly advantageous. That or you’d better a Top 3 type Defense to make up for the leakage.
Njigba-Smith, AJ Brown, T. Kelce, Cooper Cupp, Mike Evans, Julian Edelman have all headlined Super Bowl winning teams. 8 of the last 10 Superbowls featured a dominant Receiving threat like above and 1 more could be presented into evidence as a player who regularly achieved 1,000 yards. Granted some were technically TE (Gronk)

Now I think Tom Brady was the last one to Win by more a WR by committee approach (2018) Even that season he had guys like Edelman and Gronk who are substantial threats who each had multiple 1,000+ yard seasons on mingled into their resume.
 

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Just disagree for sure. Love has absolutely not been the issue and for sure he has progressed. If talking about MLFer I concur to an extent, dude has a QB that can fully cook if given 40 attempts a game just go let him!
I wasn't a fan of Love initially. He played ok before finally getting the starting job 3 seasons ago.

Love has gotten better each year since he started. He has cut way down on mistakes and seems to understand the game situation, down distance, score, all that stuff. In other words, the game has slowed down for him and that's reflected in his play. Grading his play is subjective, but it's safe to say he is a v good NFL QB. Not in the same tier as guys like Stafford, Mahomes, Allen, Jackson, but not far behind. He certainly has the talent and now the experience to get to a SB. He's capable of competing for MVP as well.

Across the roster, with the exception of CB, this team has a lot of talent.

Back to the topic - MLF. I would have preferred a change at HC, but Policy has made his decision and so onward. I do agree with you that 2 years sounds like a fair timeframe to assess MLF as the Packers' HC. I hope he comes through and the team wins a SB.
 

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Top 50%, I'd feel safe in saying.
Agree. He's a great OC, but HC is out of his reach. And at this point in his career, I think we've seen his best.

But Policy thinks otherwise so we live with the decision to keep MLF as HC. Ty made some good points summarizing MLF's first 7 years, and suggests giving MLF two years to see if he can be a successful HC (and I define that as getting to a SB and of course winning a SB). And what choice do we have? None. Policy is the boss and he's made his decision.

MLF has enough talented players to win a SB. He has to be a better HC, and lady luck needs to roll the Packers' way for a change.
 
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As far as Brian drafting or grading him.He’s graded above average considering he’s only taken WR in RD1 once( 2025) thus far. Obviously it’s hard to judge a WR in a Rookie season so that’s on hold for now.
Brian has done good considering placement of draft picks at WR. He did miss on Jmon Moore RD4 and Amari Rodgers RD3, EQ etc. He did cancel those out with Reed, Watson, Doubs, MVS. It’s been a mixed bag with more success in RD2. After that it’s a coin toss.

At WR on a true C scale (not the feel good post draft scale the experts use) I’d put Gute in the B- area. Golden or Savion have a chance to draw that slightly up or down.

Kraft had a legit opportunity to erase some woes with RD3 at TE. Sternberger and Deguara were at most serviceable, but you can get serviceable in RD5. So those do not help Brian. Gotta have a better hit rate in RD3 maybe go more higher floor? Idk.
 
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I guess the big question for me is whether we think the "Rodgers-Era" or the "Love-Era" under LaFleur represents his "true" ceiling (or, alternatively, I guess one could propose we have not yet seen MLF's "true ceiling")

As we saw with Rodgers we were able to reach the heights of being the #1 seed and making the conference championship but never beyond that.

Since then, our ceiling's been second-place in the division and one-and-done in the playoffs. So is #1 seed and conference championship appearance or is #7 seed and wild-card team more representative of what we should expect out of LaFleur?

I've said many times before I'm a big fan of Love but I think we can all admit he's no Rodgers. And that's not meant to be a slight on him, but I guess what I'm getting at is that... if our "ceiling" under LaFleur WITH Rodgers is losing in the NFCCG....is it reasonable to expect us to surpass that ceiling with a lesser QB? At minimum I'd assume we would be in agreement that the team as a whole would need to be of a much higher quality than the "Rodgers-era" if we aim to surpass those heights without a Rodgers-level QB. Is that the case?

So, I don't know. I'm mostly repeating myself at this point and there's little new information to add, but I guess that my sense is - regardless of our timetable or how much time we think LaFleur should have - at this point I struggle to find many reasons to believe that we are going to see LaFleur "unlock" a higher level than he has already shown here with us. I would love to be mistaken but I guess my gut feeling is at this point we probably have a fairly good idea of what we have and what we can hope to achieve in Matt. Hope springs eternal though I suppose and I will probably be singing a different tune come August :p
 

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Just disagree for sure. Love has absolutely not been the issue and for sure he has progressed. If talking about MLFer I concur to an extent, dude has a QB that can fully cook if given 40 attempts a game just go let him!
Yes, to be clear, I was talking about MLF. And I agree he should unleash Love more.
 

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The Packers aren't a top 5 to 8 team because MLF isn't a top 10 coach. His record against the other 3 coaches in the NFC North is 8-13. That about tells you all you need to know.
Can’t argue with that, really. The Packers aren’t elite, but they are successful. Either Gute is assembling good rosters and MLF isn’t taking them over the top or MLF is getting the most out of questionable rosters.
 
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I guess the big question for me is whether we think the "Rodgers-Era" or the "Love-Era" under LaFleur represents his "true" ceiling (or, alternatively, I guess one could propose we have not yet seen MLF's "true ceiling")

As we saw with Rodgers we were able to reach the heights of being the #1 seed and making the conference championship but never beyond that.

Since then, our ceiling's been second-place in the division and one-and-done in the playoffs. So is #1 seed and conference championship appearance or is #7 seed and wild-card team more representative of what we should expect out of LaFleur?

I've said many times before I'm a big fan of Love but I think we can all admit he's no Rodgers. And that's not meant to be a slight on him, but I guess what I'm getting at is that... if our "ceiling" under LaFleur WITH Rodgers is losing in the NFCCG....is it reasonable to expect us to surpass that ceiling with a lesser QB? At minimum I'd assume we would be in agreement that the team as a whole would need to be of a much higher quality than the "Rodgers-era" if we aim to surpass those heights without a Rodgers-level QB. Is that the case?

So, I don't know. I'm mostly repeating myself at this point and there's little new information to add, but I guess that my sense is - regardless of our timetable or how much time we think LaFleur should have - at this point I struggle to find many reasons to believe that we are going to see LaFleur "unlock" a higher level than he has already shown here with us. I would love to be mistaken but I guess my gut feeling is at this point we probably have a fairly good idea of what we have and what we can hope to achieve in Matt. Hope springs eternal though I suppose and I will probably be singing a different tune come August :p
It’s all reasonable @Magooch. Brian plays a big part in the ceiling of our team. So in more distant past years as in Ted, we similarly stayed “relevant” outside of really 1 stellar season in 2010. So what we’ve learned is just 1 great season can really define a GM career. Also some age experience proved helpful in that push and that can be applied to 1996-1997 era also. It’s ok to draft and develop, but as we found out in 2025, relying on player growth off Rookie contracts has not proven to be a magic recipe.

2026 does bring some optimism.let me explain
I
 
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I think most of us would agree that while Micah was on that field we really could battle with anybody. That’s going to be a key aspect is his condition imo.

The problem with youngest is it’s a double edge sword. When veteran players start going down it’s too much to ask the Rookie class to overcome that. That extends to players making position switches or really getting substantial playing time for their introduction to the NFL.
Rookies Golden, Belton, Savion, Brinson, Stackhouse, Sorrell or even Wooden at NT, Sean flipping to Center and you could really throw Morgan in that grouping. That’s a ton of draft firepower but too much change at once. It was necessary but not ideal. Karl was our best DT when Wyatt exited and I love me some Karl but he’s a good situational Pass Rusher is about all. He’s not ready or equipped to be Captain of our DL. THAT is where being really young in age ends up hurting. Combined with FA veterans and our best players missing games? It’s detrimental to our success.

In addition you’d like to turn to your veteran FA’s for leadership. I think I read Hobbs dealt with injuries starting in Camp, then had 3 different injuries he tried to play through and finally went IR for good. Banks wasn’t as injured, but he comes into the season battling some minor injuries and really didn’t shake them until last 1/3? or so of the season. It’s just a recipe for failure, its really not anybody’s fault. But when our veterans dropped out and our remaining ones were limping around it didn’t exactly help matters.
 

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We are staying relevant this year but we have lost a bunch of players w/o adding a lot. Not to mention that our injured aren't starting the year. I think it's asking a lot of LaFleur to pull it off this year. And to hold him accountable this year doesn't seem fair imho. I think our best shot will be in 2 years. Of course I'm not giving up hope for this year.
 
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couple 2025 with below average continuity on OL as a whole. Rasheed Walker was our best and healthiest player for substantial portions of the games and he’s an average LT. No offense he’s just not David Bak. That showed up in our Run blocking it was disjointed even before asking Musgrave to take on TE1.

2026 is another animal. The only significant player loss I see is QB2 and Edge. Hopefully we won’t have to count on QB2 to begin with. Behind Gary is really LVN. I honestly don’t see a big difference. I’d take Gary by a smidge but he’s not overwhelmingly a better Player. So what happens is we get Franklin replacing Walker which is probably an arguable wash and Cox replacing Enagbare Jr which is really about a wash imo. I think Cox jr has more ceiling but JJ more floor.

Yet now we get year 2
Banks, Morgan, Belton, Sean at Center, and they start Camp knowing it and that’s important.

Our only true ? On Offense is Golden over Doubs and maybe RB2. If Golden matches Doubs we’re basically the same Offense when Kraft returns. BUT you return the bulk of players with 1 more year of experience.

Yet we get a bonus combo of these players we didnt really see. Maybe not all but 100% some of these.
John Williams, Travis Glover (who the FO claim was hitting stride) Marshawn Lloyd or Colin Oliver. That’s added to RD2-7. I also suspect we could see another player addition but Brian might save his beans until trade deadline.
 
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Now it might not be a terrible idea to go draft a substantial RB. We don’t need to get stupid with it but RB2’s often get early playing time to display their talent. We saw this Williams and Jones (although Aaron injured Rookie season if I recall). I wouldn’t be shocked to see Brian draft a really dynamic RB in RD3-5 area. Modern history shows you can get an upgrade and especially by RD4 that comes in and shines.

I was high on Tyrone Tracy long before he was drafted. He ended up being a really important contributing factor and just exploded into the scene. There’s going to be options in Day 3 that are near instant upgrades over
E Wilson imo.
 

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We are staying relevant this year but we have lost a bunch of players w/o adding a lot. Not to mention that our injured aren't starting the year. I think it's asking a lot of LaFleur to pull it off this year. And to hold him accountable this year doesn't seem fair imho. I think our best shot will be in 2 years. Of course I'm not giving up hope for this year.
Maybe Gute is looking to be the youngest team in the league again. I think you're right we should limit our expectations this year. I feel less optimistic about this season than I have for a good while. Although I still think Parsons returning at the end of the season will give us a nice boost.
 

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Now it might not be a terrible idea to go draft a substantial RB. We don’t need to get stupid with it but RB2’s often get early playing time to display their talent. We saw this Williams and Jones (although Aaron injured Rookie season if I recall). I wouldn’t be shocked to see Brian draft a really dynamic RB in RD3-5 area. Modern history shows you can get an upgrade and especially by RD4 that comes in and shines.

I was high on Tyrone Tracy long before he was drafted. He ended up being a really important contributing factor and just exploded into the scene. There’s going to be options in Day 3 that are near instant upgrades over
E Wilson imo.
I think that's going to happen. It has to. It's no secret that MLF emphasizes the running game. I'm not sure how much Jacobs has in the tank, let alone what he has in the tank for 2 years.
 

Sanguine camper

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Just disagree for sure. Love has absolutely not been the issue and for sure he has progressed. If talking about MLFer I concur to an extent, dude has a QB that can fully cook if given 40 attempts a game just go let him!
I agree that Love needs more attempts. The 25 attempts per game is holding Love and the team back. They're running too often on passing downs.

The only problem I have with Love is his deep passing is inaccurate because of sloppy mechanics. If he fixes that, Love is a top 5 QB. Love's intermediate passing game is spot on. I just hope he takes one more step forward.
 
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I agree that Love needs more attempts. The 25 attempts per game is holding Love and the team back. They're running too often on passing downs.

The only problem I have with Love is his deep passing is inaccurate because of sloppy mechanics. If he fixes that, Love is a top 5 QB. Love's intermediate passing game is spot on. I just hope he takes one more step forward.
What’s crazy @Sanguine camper is Love on a completion % is very similar to where Aaron Rodgers was mid career. I havnt had a chance to look to longer vs shorter success but I’m guessing Rodgers would edge him out there.
I think you hit it though as far as AR stressed the passing attempts more. GB has been one of the higher % of teams for a few years now in Rush attempts to Pass attempts.
2025 #7
2024 #5 most rushing attempts
2023 #18

Obviously Josh Jacobs changed that.
 

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I think that's going to happen. It has to. It's no secret that MLF emphasizes the running game. I'm not sure how much Jacobs has in the tank, let alone what he has in the tank for 2 years.
I think MLF has been running him into the ground. Especially with our run blocking not being up to snuff.
 
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Right!

Listen I hate how we ended the season, and how we lost vs Chicago, but I think it's astonishing that people view this year as a failure that calls for MLF/Gute to be fired.

Parsons
Kraft
Wyatt
Tom

are 4 of our best players, and elite/close to being elite at their respective positions.

That's not even counting Jacobs, Watson, Reed, Elgton being severely banged up/ injured.

You're not winning anything with this many important players being hurt.

This year was bad luck.
Just for giggles I’d call it top roster spots #2#,4,#5,#7,#10 of top 22 O+D. We could maybe argue by 1 spot or 2 or the order. Jordan would be #1 and Micah #2 but past that it’s pretty subjective.

I would argue Love, Xavier, Cooper, Jacobs round out the top 10-11 high impact players. We all know Jacobs was fighting through several minor injuries. Then we lost 1/2 season from Reed 1/2 season from Watson. Every player on that injury list would make the top 50% of players you’d keep if you had an injury immunity list. The only non injured player in the Top 11 imo was Jordan at #1. Players at impact spots 2-11 all missed significant time.
Past a team without their QB in 2025
I don’t think any team can argue they lost more top rated impact players. Might be 1 or 2 debatable like SF49ers but it’s a very short list.
 
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tynimiller

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I agree that Love needs more attempts. The 25 attempts per game is holding Love and the team back. They're running too often on passing downs.

The only problem I have with Love is his deep passing is inaccurate because of sloppy mechanics. If he fixes that, Love is a top 5 QB. Love's intermediate passing game is spot on. I just hope he takes one more step forward.

Love has been one of the better deep ball passers in the league in his time as a starter. Big time air plays and deep balls he’s been opposite of what you’re describing by every metric I can find
 
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Love has been one of the better deep ball passers in the league in his time as a starter. Big time air plays and deep balls he’s been opposite of what you’re describing by every metric I can find
That looks to be correct. Once again he’s commonly surfacing in that 2nd tier of groups for the longer ball. Coincidentally Malik Willis ranked #1 in air yards average (10.1) on just 35 attempts. In Malik’s career if applied to 2025 he came in at #10 longest air yards.
Jordan in both 20+ and 40+ plays came in at #10 and #8 respectively. But what’s also impressive is he had the least number of Pass attempts by a QB playing 15+ games. Some of the QB’s in front of Jordan on the 20+ 40+ had around 100 to 160 more Pass attempts. Once again, I realize it’s not our air yards but it aligns with Love is in very good company on long strikes on a per pass attempt basis. This ranking displays related outcomes for long pass plays.

40+ Yard Completions per attempt

#1 Sam Darnold every 40 attempts
#2 CJ stroud every 42 attempts
#3 Josh Allen every 46 attempts
#4 Jalen Hurts every 50.5 attempts
#5 Dak Prescott every 50 attempts
#6 Jordan Love every 55 attempts

Matter of fact I think it’s a pretty solid argument to make that if Jordan Love can take one more small step in each passing category, he’s put himself Squarely into the bottom of the First Top 5 QB grouping. He’s very consistently in that 6-10 group for now.
 
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tynimiller

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That looks to be correct. Once again he’s commonly surfacing in that 2nd tier of groups for the longer ball. Coincidentally Malik Willis ranked #1 in air yards average (10.1) on just 35 attempts. In Malik’s career if applied to 2025 he came in at #10 longest air yards.
Jordan in both 20+ and 40+ plays came in at #10 and #8 respectively. But what’s also impressive is he had the least number of Pass attempts by a QB playing 15+ games. Some of the QB’s in front of Jordan on the 20+ 40+ had around 100 to 160 more Pass attempts. Once again, I realize it’s not our air yards but it aligns with Love is in very good company on long strikes on a per pass attempt basis. This ranking displays related outcomes for long pass plays.

40+ Yard Completions per attempt

#1 Sam Darnold every 40 attempts
#2 CJ stroud every 42 attempts
#3 Josh Allen every 46 attempts
#4 Jalen Hurts every 50.5 attempts
#5 Dak Prescott every 50 attempts
#6 Jordan Love every 55 attempts

Matter of fact I think it’s a pretty solid argument to make that if Jordan Love can take one more small step in each passing category, he’s put himself Squarely into the bottom of the First Top 5 QB grouping. He’s very consistently in that 6-10 group for now.

Precisely, 100%
 

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