tynimiller
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Many asked me when the Reed news fell if this changes my approach at all...and honestly the short answer is yes most certainly. The situation I had been presented often with Karlaftis or Wyatt slipping to 22 along with a WR I like makes me lean WR more than I had earlier (I can for sure pass up Karlaftis...Wyatt would most likely be way too good to do so though).
That all said here is a for the most part set still (despite I do think Gute trades something Day 1 or in the 2nd of somekind)...I do predict a late Round 3 slide up of small size merely because of the way the board fell and picks went it became necessary for the player targeted IMO.
Here we go:
Round 1 #22 - Treylon Burks WR Arkansas
Everyone knows I love Olave...in this mock he was gone and I will pick Burks all day everyday if Olave is gone. Burks frame and burst is next level. Folks merely looking at his forty time (for 225lbs a 4.55 is still solid and remember Davante ran that) are ignorant and need to watch him with pads on and just watch how special that first few step burst he has is, and then as DBs "try to tackle" him you will chuckle at times with how much power he has. He however isn't just a YAC guy, his ability to contort and shift his body in flight to high point a ball is IMPRESSIVE and he uses his body position very well which is crucial as he isn't blessed with elite vertical ability (but is not bad either). With LaFluer calling plays and Rodgers the one tossing the ball his way I see zero reason Burks out the gate couldn't be a 60-70 rec/700yd/7TD type rookie and he would pair perfectly with Lazard and a veteran out wide WR pick up (Jones or Green come to mind). GB Trends: Stays in line with normal approaches of big school, multi-year producer...leaves the trend of 8.00 RAS or higher, but Burks build and approach isn't surprising he didn't quite hit that threshold.
Round 1 #28 - Daxton Hill S/Slot Michigan
This pick kills two needs with one high level pick. Savage is deadly at times dropping down into coverage or slot for us...he is equally deadly staying high too, Daxton Hill instantly serves in whichever spot Savage isn't if on the field at the same time. His coverage skills are excellent in the slot, he diagnosis plays quickly and is of great assistance in attacking a run play instantly upon recognition. A legit 4.33 forty type guy with ELITE shuttle and cone drill - he shines in avoiding block attempts and using his skillset to get hands on the ball carriers working in space outside the tackles where some DBs struggle. He is IMO an instant starter for most teams and would be for us if Savage wasn't here...but depending what Barry decides we could see A LOT of snaps where Amos, Savage and Hill if drafted are all on the field.GB Trends: Stays in line with normal approaches of big school, multi-year producer. His measured athleticism is impressive sporting a 9.03 RAS which holds to the 8.0+ unofficial GB trend hreshold.
Round 2 #53 - John Metchie WR Alabama
We are not abandoning the normal Packers mentality of "draft and develop" with a speedy WR that is coming off of an ACL injury late in his college career in the SEC Championship game. Metchie has the skillset and abilities to play the Z or line up in the slot once he is back up and running. IF he comes back fine, he instantly is as capable of blowing the top off the backend like MVS, but has a much more expansive route tree than MVS did as a rookie. His stop and start up speeds are elite and impressive when you see it happen in games. With Burks already here, this is an insurance pick and potentially a massive swing into the future and stays very faithful with Gute and TT's approaches over the years. GB Trends: Stays in line with normal approaches of big school, multi-year producer. His measured athleticism is impressive and most assume had he been able to test would have not just eclipsed 8.00 but most likely also 9.0.
Round 2 #59 - Dylan Parham iOL Memphis
Here is a guy I've not touched on much but do love what he brings to the table. Originally a line backer and a tight end out of high school Memphis originally brought him in to play TE, however he switched over and started his first two seasons at left guard, third year at right tackle and ended his career starting right guard. Such a versatile background bids him well to serve as a potential starter at LG/RG/RT and possibly back up center. His arm length is 33.5 and his RAS being 9.01 he is vastly too appealing for Gute to leave sitting on the board and instantly pushes for a starting guard spot - strengthening our OL room worst case and quite promisingly our starting line up. Personally I would predict he beats Newman out, if not right away by the years end if Newman continues to be the average performer with promise not showing more promise each week.GB Trends: Stays in trend with being a multi-year producer and in his RAS score being 8+ at 9.01. He is from a smaller school type.
***Traded #92 (3rd) and #171 (5th) FOR #85 (3rd) and #200 (6th)
Round 3 #85 - Sam Williams EDGE Ole Miss
The high caliber edges are starting to get thin and more projects than contributors are there...Gute makes a move to get one of the last few guys I personally feel could handle a 25-40% snap count role on the right fit type team in Sam Williams. He is an athletic freak for his size and Edge/OLB position (9.97 RAS as linebacker...9.65 as DE) and folks his 10 yard split is WR level at 1.55. Three solid productive years, topping it all off in 2021 with his best to date and 12.5 sacks total! I've seen the Preston Smith comparison brought up by scouts in how well he can play the run, yet still be a menace against the QB in pass plays, and I'd agree that comp fits. If you have a Preston of the future, that would be a homerun for sure. GB Trends: Stays in trend in RAS, big school and multiple year production.
Round 4 #132 - Matt Waletzko OT North Dakota
Waletzko is kind of a project...but also not given all the tape and production he has exhibited of late at the Senior Bowl (confirming better comp isn't too much for him) and the combine. He has put together 28 careet starts, all at LT in North Dakota's heavy run schemed offense...which makes sense that we are talking about a LT with agility and movement skills rarely seen, especially for his size (6'7' 312lbs), nearly ran a 5.00 flat forty, jumped 30 inches and his broad was right around 9 and a half. Again folks that is a LT with a 6'7' (and a half) height and 312lbs doing that....not Jordan Davis impressive but still impressive. The crazy thing is for a big frame, Waletzko is cut very high and doesn't illustrate the leg weight or mid-section one would expect to see with a 300 plus pound LT. Leads me to believe we may see him through condition and his first year look to add some weight, especially since he has the agility and movements skills to give some if necessary even. While LT is his home, drafting Waletzko to me instantly gives us depth or competition at RT as well from day 1...and now allows Newman to focus on Guard even with Parham drafted - as it is clearly where the Packers felt he is best served it seems. OL room is set now 100% given how the draft fell.GB Trends: Blows the 8+ RAS trend out of the water at 9.92, comes with multiple years of experience and production...however does come from a small school which is not normal.
Round 4 #140 - Matt Henningsen iDL Wisconsin
Here is one all of Wisconsin fans will rejoice in the selection. Surprisingly a good athlete Henningsen constantly played the front for a stout Wisconsin defense and made it possible for very good LBs behind him shine for sure. He's more built like Lowry or Keke were out of college at 6'3' 295, while he won't wow you with strength on the bench his body control and technique serve him and his team very well in how he holds his gap integrity even against double teams at times...and while many felt he didn't have the burst or explosion needed to be a pressurer (never had more than 4 sacks a year in college), those that watch him always said he played to his role and often times even on passing downs he was found manipulating the pocket and QB often even if he didn't get a hand on him. Matt however put up ELITE level marks in his Vertical of 37.5 (nearly tops in position), inch shy of 10 foot broad, a 4.29 shuttle and 7.19 3cone....there are TEs that will be drafted with worse figures. With the addition of Reed, waiting to the fourth is easily a comfortable thing to do and Henningsen is an excellent compliment to the room which once was depleted is filling out nicely with both veterans and young promising potential. GB Trends: Easily clears the 8+ RAS trend out of the water at 9.3, comes with multiple years of experience and production and did so at a big time school in a big time conference.
Round 6 #200 - Jeffrey Gunter EDGE Coastal Carolina
I've discussed Gunter before enough....high high ceiling type pick and a guy that is rated as high as the fourth or as low as an UDFA. I happen to love a lot of what I see is inside Gunter and take him falling to the very top end of the 6th round on Day 3 GB Trends: 8+ RAS trend is there with a 9.73, comes with multiple years of experience and production, however a smaller school albeit an ascending program.
Round 7 #228 - MarQuan McCall NT Kentucky
This is a BIG boy and while NT use is lessoning and lessoning in today's game...there is no denying their value is still there and having a plugger with skill is worth taking a chance of hitting in the 7th. His 6'2' frame holds 342lbs on it and McCall brings with it high character and high ability to accomplish the lost art of sticking and holding a low center of scrimmage while and moving it if needed. He has the potential to be an early down and goal line beast for a team.GB Trends: He has been productive at a big school and big conference, no RAS to report though KY pro day may allow me to construct one depending what he does that day.
Round 7 #249 - D'Vonte Price RB Florida International
I've touched on him before, but I like Price late in the 7th to avoid him signing elsewhere as an UDFA...and with Hill coming off injury and Jones in his last season given contract structure putting a guy in there to be a depth and most likely PS stash type guy is worth it here. He emerged as the lead back for FI in 2020 and set records with 6.8 yards per rush and 116.2 yards per game in his run as lead. Capable receiving threat out of the backfield and experience blocker in pass sets make him a very viable future support or RB2 potentially for a team. His combine most likely put him on more radars as he did end up running an elite 4.38 forty
GB Trends: He is a highly productive guy but from a small school...but his RAS is elite at 9.71
Round 7 #258 - Baylon Spector ILB Clemson
An undersized to many ILB at 6'1' 233lbs he fits passing sub packages in today's NFL excellently and could push for some three down role in a year or two IMO. Great speed for his position at 4.6 but his ten yard split is elite 1.57 and is why he has shown capabilities to locate and cover RB out of the backfield in the flats and TEs as well. Should provide excellent ST play while he grows in the role of an NFL ILB if nothing else.GB Trends: He is a highly productive guy from a top level school and sports a 9.1 RAS
That all said here is a for the most part set still (despite I do think Gute trades something Day 1 or in the 2nd of somekind)...I do predict a late Round 3 slide up of small size merely because of the way the board fell and picks went it became necessary for the player targeted IMO.
Here we go:
Round 1 #22 - Treylon Burks WR Arkansas
Everyone knows I love Olave...in this mock he was gone and I will pick Burks all day everyday if Olave is gone. Burks frame and burst is next level. Folks merely looking at his forty time (for 225lbs a 4.55 is still solid and remember Davante ran that) are ignorant and need to watch him with pads on and just watch how special that first few step burst he has is, and then as DBs "try to tackle" him you will chuckle at times with how much power he has. He however isn't just a YAC guy, his ability to contort and shift his body in flight to high point a ball is IMPRESSIVE and he uses his body position very well which is crucial as he isn't blessed with elite vertical ability (but is not bad either). With LaFluer calling plays and Rodgers the one tossing the ball his way I see zero reason Burks out the gate couldn't be a 60-70 rec/700yd/7TD type rookie and he would pair perfectly with Lazard and a veteran out wide WR pick up (Jones or Green come to mind). GB Trends: Stays in line with normal approaches of big school, multi-year producer...leaves the trend of 8.00 RAS or higher, but Burks build and approach isn't surprising he didn't quite hit that threshold.
Round 1 #28 - Daxton Hill S/Slot Michigan
This pick kills two needs with one high level pick. Savage is deadly at times dropping down into coverage or slot for us...he is equally deadly staying high too, Daxton Hill instantly serves in whichever spot Savage isn't if on the field at the same time. His coverage skills are excellent in the slot, he diagnosis plays quickly and is of great assistance in attacking a run play instantly upon recognition. A legit 4.33 forty type guy with ELITE shuttle and cone drill - he shines in avoiding block attempts and using his skillset to get hands on the ball carriers working in space outside the tackles where some DBs struggle. He is IMO an instant starter for most teams and would be for us if Savage wasn't here...but depending what Barry decides we could see A LOT of snaps where Amos, Savage and Hill if drafted are all on the field.GB Trends: Stays in line with normal approaches of big school, multi-year producer. His measured athleticism is impressive sporting a 9.03 RAS which holds to the 8.0+ unofficial GB trend hreshold.
Round 2 #53 - John Metchie WR Alabama
We are not abandoning the normal Packers mentality of "draft and develop" with a speedy WR that is coming off of an ACL injury late in his college career in the SEC Championship game. Metchie has the skillset and abilities to play the Z or line up in the slot once he is back up and running. IF he comes back fine, he instantly is as capable of blowing the top off the backend like MVS, but has a much more expansive route tree than MVS did as a rookie. His stop and start up speeds are elite and impressive when you see it happen in games. With Burks already here, this is an insurance pick and potentially a massive swing into the future and stays very faithful with Gute and TT's approaches over the years. GB Trends: Stays in line with normal approaches of big school, multi-year producer. His measured athleticism is impressive and most assume had he been able to test would have not just eclipsed 8.00 but most likely also 9.0.
Round 2 #59 - Dylan Parham iOL Memphis
Here is a guy I've not touched on much but do love what he brings to the table. Originally a line backer and a tight end out of high school Memphis originally brought him in to play TE, however he switched over and started his first two seasons at left guard, third year at right tackle and ended his career starting right guard. Such a versatile background bids him well to serve as a potential starter at LG/RG/RT and possibly back up center. His arm length is 33.5 and his RAS being 9.01 he is vastly too appealing for Gute to leave sitting on the board and instantly pushes for a starting guard spot - strengthening our OL room worst case and quite promisingly our starting line up. Personally I would predict he beats Newman out, if not right away by the years end if Newman continues to be the average performer with promise not showing more promise each week.GB Trends: Stays in trend with being a multi-year producer and in his RAS score being 8+ at 9.01. He is from a smaller school type.
***Traded #92 (3rd) and #171 (5th) FOR #85 (3rd) and #200 (6th)
Round 3 #85 - Sam Williams EDGE Ole Miss
The high caliber edges are starting to get thin and more projects than contributors are there...Gute makes a move to get one of the last few guys I personally feel could handle a 25-40% snap count role on the right fit type team in Sam Williams. He is an athletic freak for his size and Edge/OLB position (9.97 RAS as linebacker...9.65 as DE) and folks his 10 yard split is WR level at 1.55. Three solid productive years, topping it all off in 2021 with his best to date and 12.5 sacks total! I've seen the Preston Smith comparison brought up by scouts in how well he can play the run, yet still be a menace against the QB in pass plays, and I'd agree that comp fits. If you have a Preston of the future, that would be a homerun for sure. GB Trends: Stays in trend in RAS, big school and multiple year production.
Round 4 #132 - Matt Waletzko OT North Dakota
Waletzko is kind of a project...but also not given all the tape and production he has exhibited of late at the Senior Bowl (confirming better comp isn't too much for him) and the combine. He has put together 28 careet starts, all at LT in North Dakota's heavy run schemed offense...which makes sense that we are talking about a LT with agility and movement skills rarely seen, especially for his size (6'7' 312lbs), nearly ran a 5.00 flat forty, jumped 30 inches and his broad was right around 9 and a half. Again folks that is a LT with a 6'7' (and a half) height and 312lbs doing that....not Jordan Davis impressive but still impressive. The crazy thing is for a big frame, Waletzko is cut very high and doesn't illustrate the leg weight or mid-section one would expect to see with a 300 plus pound LT. Leads me to believe we may see him through condition and his first year look to add some weight, especially since he has the agility and movements skills to give some if necessary even. While LT is his home, drafting Waletzko to me instantly gives us depth or competition at RT as well from day 1...and now allows Newman to focus on Guard even with Parham drafted - as it is clearly where the Packers felt he is best served it seems. OL room is set now 100% given how the draft fell.GB Trends: Blows the 8+ RAS trend out of the water at 9.92, comes with multiple years of experience and production...however does come from a small school which is not normal.
Round 4 #140 - Matt Henningsen iDL Wisconsin
Here is one all of Wisconsin fans will rejoice in the selection. Surprisingly a good athlete Henningsen constantly played the front for a stout Wisconsin defense and made it possible for very good LBs behind him shine for sure. He's more built like Lowry or Keke were out of college at 6'3' 295, while he won't wow you with strength on the bench his body control and technique serve him and his team very well in how he holds his gap integrity even against double teams at times...and while many felt he didn't have the burst or explosion needed to be a pressurer (never had more than 4 sacks a year in college), those that watch him always said he played to his role and often times even on passing downs he was found manipulating the pocket and QB often even if he didn't get a hand on him. Matt however put up ELITE level marks in his Vertical of 37.5 (nearly tops in position), inch shy of 10 foot broad, a 4.29 shuttle and 7.19 3cone....there are TEs that will be drafted with worse figures. With the addition of Reed, waiting to the fourth is easily a comfortable thing to do and Henningsen is an excellent compliment to the room which once was depleted is filling out nicely with both veterans and young promising potential. GB Trends: Easily clears the 8+ RAS trend out of the water at 9.3, comes with multiple years of experience and production and did so at a big time school in a big time conference.
Round 6 #200 - Jeffrey Gunter EDGE Coastal Carolina
I've discussed Gunter before enough....high high ceiling type pick and a guy that is rated as high as the fourth or as low as an UDFA. I happen to love a lot of what I see is inside Gunter and take him falling to the very top end of the 6th round on Day 3 GB Trends: 8+ RAS trend is there with a 9.73, comes with multiple years of experience and production, however a smaller school albeit an ascending program.
Round 7 #228 - MarQuan McCall NT Kentucky
This is a BIG boy and while NT use is lessoning and lessoning in today's game...there is no denying their value is still there and having a plugger with skill is worth taking a chance of hitting in the 7th. His 6'2' frame holds 342lbs on it and McCall brings with it high character and high ability to accomplish the lost art of sticking and holding a low center of scrimmage while and moving it if needed. He has the potential to be an early down and goal line beast for a team.GB Trends: He has been productive at a big school and big conference, no RAS to report though KY pro day may allow me to construct one depending what he does that day.
Round 7 #249 - D'Vonte Price RB Florida International
I've touched on him before, but I like Price late in the 7th to avoid him signing elsewhere as an UDFA...and with Hill coming off injury and Jones in his last season given contract structure putting a guy in there to be a depth and most likely PS stash type guy is worth it here. He emerged as the lead back for FI in 2020 and set records with 6.8 yards per rush and 116.2 yards per game in his run as lead. Capable receiving threat out of the backfield and experience blocker in pass sets make him a very viable future support or RB2 potentially for a team. His combine most likely put him on more radars as he did end up running an elite 4.38 forty
GB Trends: He is a highly productive guy but from a small school...but his RAS is elite at 9.71
Round 7 #258 - Baylon Spector ILB Clemson
An undersized to many ILB at 6'1' 233lbs he fits passing sub packages in today's NFL excellently and could push for some three down role in a year or two IMO. Great speed for his position at 4.6 but his ten yard split is elite 1.57 and is why he has shown capabilities to locate and cover RB out of the backfield in the flats and TEs as well. Should provide excellent ST play while he grows in the role of an NFL ILB if nothing else.GB Trends: He is a highly productive guy from a top level school and sports a 9.1 RAS
