Even under MM the strength was the ability of Rodgers and the offense to " matriculate " down the field. Take what is there. Move the chains. Keep your defense off the field.
This has been an area of some concern since MLF and I’ve seen this repeated over and over. The only possible reasoning I can think of was that we didn’t trust our Kicker. Crossing the opponent 40 yard line needs to be a focal point. Since MLF has been HC we’ve had multiple drives in opponent territory that fizzled or that we’ve backwards for a Sack. That’s lost points!! Why would we call a slow developing play here?
This should be 1, maybe 2 reads and the ball comes out.
There’s several factors here but we had run repeated, low probability plays on a 3rd and medium. 3rd and 7 from the opponent 44 yard line and we’ll heave a Pass 30 yards pass incomplete or take a Sack? Most often Punting which makes no sense because if you stick the Punt inside the 10 to the 9 yard line it’s ~35 yard net, which would get you fired if you do that regularly. If the ball Runs through the Paint you’re talking a net 20 yarder. That’s egregious to set yourself up for that.
Here you should call a bang bang play. If you just run a shorter 5-7 yard-high probability play? It gives you a plethora of options more regularly.
1. You might get YAC and cross the marker for a 1st Down and control the game clock and keep their O off the field. Keeping an opponent O on sideline and opponent D on that field indefinitely.
2. You might fall 1-3 yards short. You’ve got options. Take a 56 etc.. yard FG try (option1). On a close miss 4th and 1 and just go for the conversion there (option2)
3. If you make a 1st Down to the 37 opponent 36-37 yardline you get 3 more tries for a 1st and if you miss? probability of a points FG from the
30-35 yardline is higher.