Christian Watson signs a 4 year 110m extension

[OldSchool101]

I'm not going say he ever has a five year deal because he doesn't, so I won't. I also can't put my faith in his 2.28 Y/RR, because really? Was that a route ran stat? I'm not saying that CW is bad, but I also want to see a player be able to eclipse more than 30 passes caught for more than half of their seasons is all. I also thought that the whole point of having a "prove it" contract, was to make sure a player had to actually "prove it" during the season of said contract. Again I'm not I'm not saying CW is trash, because I don't believe he is, but I do think that he had to fulfill the "prove it" year before we gave him a larger deal. I mean am wrong in thinking that he had to honor the extension we gave him before giving him $110 million with $31 million guaranteed?

I actually agree with your premise. However let he ask you this. If #9 plays 15+ games this year and clips his usual pace he’s well into a 1,000-1,300 yards WR and 8-12TD’s. That and he adds in leverage of holding both Safeties deep. Someone out there will hit him at a smooth $35Mil AAV area and 50% guaranteed


Really the key thing that matters is guaranteed. He’s got reasonably 2yrs guaranteed extension as we won’t apply his AAV $27.6 to the Cap in 2027. It’s what #12 would call a
2-1-1. The key aspect of this is the reason we could sign him to such a small extension is due to some minor injury history. I say minor because he’s actually played over 12+ games per season factoring all playoff games. I think 14-15 games might be more “normal”.

It’s his injury history that just saved us $$50mil++. I look at it from a monetary aspect and risk reward. You’re looking at it purely risk but not factoring that’s about the lowest guaranteed in the league for a WR1 type

 

[OldSchool101]

Christian Watson right now is signed to five years with GB. That is not hyperbole, symantics or anything other than facts. 2026 - signed. 2027 - signed. 2028 - signed. 2029 - signed. 2030 - signed. That is five years. That is how extensions work, they extend or ADD to existing contracts making the player and team agree to a contract structure that is the old remaining + the new.

The team was fully prepared to extend him I think before his injury but that put a pause on it, did the one year extension as a good faith gesture AND lock a CRAZY productive guy in house to see if he recovered and is well. Last year only a football blind person doesn't recognize the impact he has.

Only Alec Pierce ranks ahead of him last year in yards per catch, 17th in yards per game played, 8th highest in touchdowns/game....people only measure what they want. Ja'Marr Chase took 185 targets to get 8 TDs...Watson had 6 on just 55 targets.

Watson produced better than all receivers with 25 or more targets in yards than the entire league save three guys (Boutte, Pierce and Thornton).

He played just 10 games and wrecked defenses.

His yards per reception last year again was only beat by Pierce for qualifying WRs....and YET his 17.5 was only half a yard better than his CAREER AVERAGE.

I'm not saying all this to make folks think he is better than some of the guys in the league like Chase, Jefferson, JSN, Puka, St. Brown....but the foolish thing is to believe he isn't as productive, GB just doesn't run a high volume to one type offense - only Adams really ever saw that in my lifetime...at the most we were splitting majority of targets between two guys. Since Adams left only one guy has saw 100 targets and that was Lazard.

If Watson even just holds serve as to his production that would mean a 2026 line over over 1,000 yards / 10 TDs and that's assuming only like 60 receptions and 93 targets....he is getting Alec Pierce level money minimum next off season and likely higher guarantee than we had to give him spread over 5 years (YES FIVE).

Exactly what I was saying simultaneously @tynimiller I promise I didn’t cheat and plagiarize you!

It’s when I start looking at @David Ciembronowicz post though that made me look around at who’s doing what that’s comparable to #9. Actually a close comp overall is Drake London career wise. Both Watson and Drake were on fire to close 2025. Obviously we held Watson out in Week 18.

Another tidbit. Both Watson and Kraft tied at #20 in the NFL for most yards per game (Exactly 61.1 for both). At that trajectory had both played all 17 games instead of 18 total (including injury games they didn’t finish) were talking 2,077.77 yards across a single season.

As a DC.. Who do you commit resources towards? You’ve still got Reed and Golden wandering around. Reed led our team in receptions in both 2023-2024 and Golden is about to bust out. Just watch him at Chicago and you can see it. We’re about to add Kraft to the 4 year grouping of HellCats