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Cheesehead
Packers lose four games and all the Internet boards are speculating on a new coach.
It might happen, but probably not, at least not this year.
Lets look at the following scenerios:
1)The Packers go 11-0 the rest of the way. Change coach then? No. Likely to happen? Probably not.
2)Packers go 9-2 the rest of the way. Change coach then? No. 10-6 probably wins the division. Likely to happen? Probably not, but possible.
3) Packers go 7-4 the rest of the way. Change coach then? Probably not, as 8-8 could win the North division.
4)Packers go 5-6 rest of the way? They finish 6-10, probably out of the playoffs. Change coach? Maybe.
5)Any combination of more losses than victories. I don't think they are going 0-11, which would trigger a coaching change.
The majority of scenerios I laid out above show me there will be no coaching change after this year unless the team totally tanks.
In fact, I think the Packers are starting to look like a fairly competitive team, capable of beating some good teams. They will have to with the Bengals and Steelers coming up. But I think they are very capable of running the slate against the rest of the division, meaning five wins.
I also challenge the prevailing notion that the Packers can toss Sherman aside after this year with no problem. The Packers don't have an endless well of money to throw away $6mill on Sherman, then have to pay a new coach(and staff) millions more, then rebuild into the new system. If Thompson wanted to make a change, he simply would have let Sherman go this year ($3 mill) or let him play out the season under the guise of talking about it "later". Thompson started the rebuilding THIS YEAR with Sherman.
Some would say Jim Bates is already on staff. True, but what do you gain by making THAT switch? Bates would have to bring in an offensive leader, and do you think Brett wants to learn a new offense at age 36?
The majority of scenerios lead me to believe Thompson has made the decision to stick with Sherman as long as Brett is around, which tells me both might be around next year. Even if Favre retires, it still wouldn't make any sense to invest in rookies to learn this system, only to have it upended next year.
It makes no sense from a financial and strategic standpoint, so I think Sherman stays one more year, regardless of outcome, unless the team goes completely south.
It might happen, but probably not, at least not this year.
Lets look at the following scenerios:
1)The Packers go 11-0 the rest of the way. Change coach then? No. Likely to happen? Probably not.
2)Packers go 9-2 the rest of the way. Change coach then? No. 10-6 probably wins the division. Likely to happen? Probably not, but possible.
3) Packers go 7-4 the rest of the way. Change coach then? Probably not, as 8-8 could win the North division.
4)Packers go 5-6 rest of the way? They finish 6-10, probably out of the playoffs. Change coach? Maybe.
5)Any combination of more losses than victories. I don't think they are going 0-11, which would trigger a coaching change.
The majority of scenerios I laid out above show me there will be no coaching change after this year unless the team totally tanks.
In fact, I think the Packers are starting to look like a fairly competitive team, capable of beating some good teams. They will have to with the Bengals and Steelers coming up. But I think they are very capable of running the slate against the rest of the division, meaning five wins.
I also challenge the prevailing notion that the Packers can toss Sherman aside after this year with no problem. The Packers don't have an endless well of money to throw away $6mill on Sherman, then have to pay a new coach(and staff) millions more, then rebuild into the new system. If Thompson wanted to make a change, he simply would have let Sherman go this year ($3 mill) or let him play out the season under the guise of talking about it "later". Thompson started the rebuilding THIS YEAR with Sherman.
Some would say Jim Bates is already on staff. True, but what do you gain by making THAT switch? Bates would have to bring in an offensive leader, and do you think Brett wants to learn a new offense at age 36?
The majority of scenerios lead me to believe Thompson has made the decision to stick with Sherman as long as Brett is around, which tells me both might be around next year. Even if Favre retires, it still wouldn't make any sense to invest in rookies to learn this system, only to have it upended next year.
It makes no sense from a financial and strategic standpoint, so I think Sherman stays one more year, regardless of outcome, unless the team goes completely south.
