weeds, I just can’t tell what percentage of their running game is ZBS anymore. Every scheme I know about uses double teams at the point of attack and the Packers certainly do that and almost every team has the option of one of the “double-teamers” to come off that block and go after a LB or DB and the Packers do that a lot too. The distinguishing feature of the ZBS as far as I know is the backside cut blocks and I don’t see much of that at all. But I admit I haven’t focused on watching that much. Another aspect of the ZBS is smaller, more athletic OL can be utilized and I think we’ve seen the Packers going away from that model with the acquisitions of Sitton and Lang – even Bulaga.
I think it is difficult for an NFL team to field an above average run blocking OL AND an above average pass blocking OL. (I’m not sure if you are disagreeing with that point or not.) We both somewhat reluctantly agree the passing game reigns supreme in today’s NFL so pass blocking becomes more important, particularly for a team like the Packers. Pass blocking, particularly on the outside by the OTs, TEs, and RBs, involves finesse, not brute strength and that’s why I agree with the charge the Packers’ OL has leaned toward finesse since Wolf arrived. (Sherman’s team were the exception.)
As far as 1996 vs. 2011 I’m not sure the difference in run/pass is that stark considering the extenuating circumstances. As I calculate it from NFL.com stats for the regular seasons, the 1996 team ran the ball 45.9% while McCarthy’s 2011 team ran it 41.7% of the time. The time of possession was 31:51 vs. 30:29 in favor of the ’96 team. While the ’96 team had 66 more snaps from scrimmage, the 2011 team only passed the ball 4 more times. As to extenuating circumstances, one is the rule changes benefiting the passing game and the other is the difference between the teams’ defenses. The 1996 D was phenomenal and the 2011 D stunk. Holmgren could run the ball to eat up time and depend upon his defense. McCarthy absolutely positively could not. Both offenses led the league in scoring offense, but the 2011 team averaged 6.5 more points/game.
Just looking at the 2011 stats, the Packers completed 68% of their passing attempts and gained an average of 8.92 yards/attempt (9.3 yards per completion). They averaged 3.94 yards/attempt on the ground. The passing game rewarded the team with more than twice the average gain per attempt with a QB who was extremely careful with that ball in the passing game. All stats are interdependent so I’m not suggesting we draw grand conclusions from the stats I cited. My point really is when we consider all of the circumstances, there wasn’t that huge a difference between dependence upon the running game in 1996 vs. 2011. While it would be great for the Packers to have a dominant running game, that isn’t realistic or even needed. If they pose a good enough running threat to help protect Rodgers and to close out games, that’ll be enough.
All this just my opinion: As I posted, its very difficult to field an OL which is good in both the running and passing games, but the Packers are 3/5ths the way there. Sitton, Lang and Bulaga all are, or soon will be in that category and they range in age from 23 to 25. I exclude Saturday at OC because my guess is at his age he he’ll likely be a small step below Wells in the running game and he's a one or two year stop-gap. They are certainly looking for a bigger stronger OC of the future and if they get one (like Genus who started there in the recent rookie camp), they’ll be 4/5ths of the way to an ideal OL. LT is the rub but look at the running game under Sherman: It excelled running the ball with a below average run-blocking LT in Clifton. Both Newhouse and Sherrod have a good chance to be better in that category but far more important is if they can emulate Clifton protecting the QB.