I think the packers can afford to and will resign Rodgers and Adams without incurring "cap hell" later on or gutting other position groups. Because I believe the cap is gonna go up significantly over the next 5 seasons. Like record breaking significantly
You think they can not...no?
First of all. Even though our cap is in line with our 2021 Special Teams, yes we can borrow more from the future. That’s not a big secret.
The argument is that at some point (likely in the next several years) The Packers-Rodgers relationship WILL end. That’ll happen through 1 party or the other or both. Please don’t think that Andrew Luck or BJ Raji are the only ones who have weighed those type options. Our QB has already voiced it and we can’t negate that there’s an outside chance he walks away, gets injured or goes on a rapid decline. That latter will happen because he’s human and it’s probably we’ve already seen PEAK Rodgers.
With those concerns, we are at a crossroads. Sure we’d like to keep him, but that’s not entirely our decision. It takes both parties each season to commit. We face major hurdles that I can see.
1. Suffer for an extra season or two in the near future $Cap$ wise from money transitioning additional debt into the future on multiple players.
2. Lose out on possibly up to 3-5 very good players on Rookie contracts for the next 4 seasons. Those players likely include our choice of 2 of the best 4 QBs to hit the market in 2022-2023.
I have that cost at:
A top 3 overall QB in the draft in either 2022-‘23
A Day 1 draft selection in ‘22-‘23
A 2nd round selection in 2022
A 3rd round selection in 2023
A veteran starter at our position of choice in a trade scenario.
3. We highly likely part with 3-4 good starting caliber players due to financial constraints, such as
A top 5 ILB in FA
OR Top 25 CB
Atop 10 OLB in FA
A A Starting caliber veteran TE
A starting caliber #3 WR
A #4 type WR
A starting caliber RT
If we go Rodgers, there is an offset of opportunity cost lost in
a. the draft
b. Cap monies
c. Veteran FA
On the bright side we likely get 3 more seasons of #12 slinging the ball, (my prediction is a 4 year rework with a 4th yr “out”)but with a very gradual waning of talent surrounding him each season. My prediction is we can keep our head above water 2 seasons and then we sink from the wake of other teams speeding by us with double 250HP engines.
So my question back to you. Do you believe roughly 2 seasons (3 tops) is worth that opportunity cost??