tynimiller
Cheesehead
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Cuts happen every year and typically I place them into three categories:
No Brainers....these are typically your UDFAs...or guys that barely secured spots in prior years, but now with a bolstered roster and stronger position group there simply isn't a reason to keep them. Think Samori Toure now....this is also the McGough, Podlesny, Swinson, Stanley type guys spot too....some of you probably didn't even recognize those as names on our roster and that is the point.
Coin Flips....these are the guys that typically have many of us expected and some of us doubting will be cut heading into TC. Royce Newman is a prime example of this type...past starter, since relegated to backup and not even first up back up at a position he played once (RG). Truthfully he is a guy that isn't a true coin flip of 50/50, but is a guy that in the past has shown starter ability for a team and it is never a guarantee a team walks from them. Another current guy I'd put in this boat is Tyler Davis...while he has to like seeing no additional TE drafted, the play of Ben Sims last year and the fact Dillon may be switching to more an H Back type TE could spell doom for a guy that at one time was a pretty reliable #3 (albeit one you wanted upgraded). This is also where you often times find those late Day3 pick types. Kalen King is one for example this year....I can make a strong case for him to be here still when the dust settles, but a late Day3 type can never be too surprising should they be cut.
Surpirses...truthfully there is one guy each year that surprises a portion of the fan base if not the entire fan base. Isn't always a big surprise but can be. This is the guy many didn't see other than having an outside small chance of being cut, and some would staunchly fight against the claim he will be cut at this point in the season.
The no brainers are boring to discuss IMO. But I'll offer up a few guys I claim that will be cuts in the other two descriptions this year:
Coin Flips
Royce Newman...everyone knows I was highly encouraged by his rookie play and honestly felt we may be on to something with the Mississippi prospect. However, his play never progressed and some argue has regressed even. With an ascending final year hit of his rookie deal, his play not being even of a depth level you want - it seems this once starter will find himself on the chopping block for GB. His past and his athletic profile will likely have him picked up elsewhere however I'd bet and he may even excel elsewhere.
Tyler Davis...already outlined why....guy caught a bad break with the timing of his injury. I suspect between him and Sims we try hiding one on our PS, but not sure either will not be claimed elsewhere. We just don't have a need for Davis IMO and Sims has a higher ceiling.
Bo Melton....yup, you read that right folks. I know, I know...even I touted an attraction to this Rutgers prospect clear back to his draft year, BUT this WR room is loaded folks. Clearly ahead of him you have Watson, Doubs, Reed, Wicks and IMO Heath. At best he is your 5th...I have him at 6th....and anytime your in the 5th-7th conversations of a roster for WR the risk is truly there for a guy. Let's not forget that Heath showed out when called on as well, albeit not having the explosive game Melton had...and overlooking Dubose now healthy could prove naive when the dust settles. To some of you Melton deserves to be on the Surprise list...and I understand it, I just don't see it quite that surprising. For reference if you asked me to place a bet using my family's house as collateral as to who makes the 53 Donovan Jennings or Bo Melton - I'd honestly place my money on Jennings as I believe he is more likely.
Surprises
TJ Slaton...I HATE this one, but then again that is part of why it would be a surprise - despite having some logic and defense behind it. Slaton has seen action ever since joining the Packers in 2021 as a fifth round pick...yet is rarely noticed by many. He is by far our 'biggest' body plugger in the interior and it will be interesting if he stays if he excels even more under Hafley or not in his contract year. A Slaton cut would signify a few things IMO - confidence that Wyatt for one is ready for a lot more reps and role, expectations of other DL to step up, they don't see what he gives as worth not saving the $3.1M in cap by keeping him.
Sean Rhyan...it's tough to come up with a second one, but I do feel a Rhyan cut would catch many off their heels. However, factoring in that he couldn't unseat Runyan last year who wasn't healthy, the youthful additions of quite good OL in Morgan, Monk, Glover and Jennings (plus adding Dillard cheap) make me honestly quite willing to walk from Rhyan who just has never shown me he is anything post PED Rhyan from college.
Who do you got as a realistic surprise perhaps? Or some coin flip thoughts?
No Brainers....these are typically your UDFAs...or guys that barely secured spots in prior years, but now with a bolstered roster and stronger position group there simply isn't a reason to keep them. Think Samori Toure now....this is also the McGough, Podlesny, Swinson, Stanley type guys spot too....some of you probably didn't even recognize those as names on our roster and that is the point.
Coin Flips....these are the guys that typically have many of us expected and some of us doubting will be cut heading into TC. Royce Newman is a prime example of this type...past starter, since relegated to backup and not even first up back up at a position he played once (RG). Truthfully he is a guy that isn't a true coin flip of 50/50, but is a guy that in the past has shown starter ability for a team and it is never a guarantee a team walks from them. Another current guy I'd put in this boat is Tyler Davis...while he has to like seeing no additional TE drafted, the play of Ben Sims last year and the fact Dillon may be switching to more an H Back type TE could spell doom for a guy that at one time was a pretty reliable #3 (albeit one you wanted upgraded). This is also where you often times find those late Day3 pick types. Kalen King is one for example this year....I can make a strong case for him to be here still when the dust settles, but a late Day3 type can never be too surprising should they be cut.
Surpirses...truthfully there is one guy each year that surprises a portion of the fan base if not the entire fan base. Isn't always a big surprise but can be. This is the guy many didn't see other than having an outside small chance of being cut, and some would staunchly fight against the claim he will be cut at this point in the season.
The no brainers are boring to discuss IMO. But I'll offer up a few guys I claim that will be cuts in the other two descriptions this year:
Coin Flips
Royce Newman...everyone knows I was highly encouraged by his rookie play and honestly felt we may be on to something with the Mississippi prospect. However, his play never progressed and some argue has regressed even. With an ascending final year hit of his rookie deal, his play not being even of a depth level you want - it seems this once starter will find himself on the chopping block for GB. His past and his athletic profile will likely have him picked up elsewhere however I'd bet and he may even excel elsewhere.
Tyler Davis...already outlined why....guy caught a bad break with the timing of his injury. I suspect between him and Sims we try hiding one on our PS, but not sure either will not be claimed elsewhere. We just don't have a need for Davis IMO and Sims has a higher ceiling.
Bo Melton....yup, you read that right folks. I know, I know...even I touted an attraction to this Rutgers prospect clear back to his draft year, BUT this WR room is loaded folks. Clearly ahead of him you have Watson, Doubs, Reed, Wicks and IMO Heath. At best he is your 5th...I have him at 6th....and anytime your in the 5th-7th conversations of a roster for WR the risk is truly there for a guy. Let's not forget that Heath showed out when called on as well, albeit not having the explosive game Melton had...and overlooking Dubose now healthy could prove naive when the dust settles. To some of you Melton deserves to be on the Surprise list...and I understand it, I just don't see it quite that surprising. For reference if you asked me to place a bet using my family's house as collateral as to who makes the 53 Donovan Jennings or Bo Melton - I'd honestly place my money on Jennings as I believe he is more likely.
Surprises
TJ Slaton...I HATE this one, but then again that is part of why it would be a surprise - despite having some logic and defense behind it. Slaton has seen action ever since joining the Packers in 2021 as a fifth round pick...yet is rarely noticed by many. He is by far our 'biggest' body plugger in the interior and it will be interesting if he stays if he excels even more under Hafley or not in his contract year. A Slaton cut would signify a few things IMO - confidence that Wyatt for one is ready for a lot more reps and role, expectations of other DL to step up, they don't see what he gives as worth not saving the $3.1M in cap by keeping him.
Sean Rhyan...it's tough to come up with a second one, but I do feel a Rhyan cut would catch many off their heels. However, factoring in that he couldn't unseat Runyan last year who wasn't healthy, the youthful additions of quite good OL in Morgan, Monk, Glover and Jennings (plus adding Dillard cheap) make me honestly quite willing to walk from Rhyan who just has never shown me he is anything post PED Rhyan from college.
Who do you got as a realistic surprise perhaps? Or some coin flip thoughts?
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