It will be interesting to see how coaches use this new after TD point system. I think some teams will be going for 2 a lot more then others. But will those teams that start getting 2 scored against them, abandon the 1 point and play catch up by going for 2?
In line with my prediction, Belichick said recently that he intends to us the 2 point option. To what degree remains to be seen.
Of course, he could be lying in order to induce opponents to waste preparation time.
I doubt that for a couple of reasons. He's been notable for breaking with conventional wisdom in certain down-distance-clock-scoreboard situations. Also, he's been perhaps the most vocal critic of the automatic EP kick over the last couple of years, justifiably so.
I think the Bills might be a candidate as well. They're going "ground and pound" on offense, while their dubious collection of QBs will likely result in their needing every point they can get. Conversely, their defense plays with seeming indifference to the scoreboard. Miss an extra point and give the opponent momentum? I don't think "momentum" is in their defensive make-up.
The degree to which a team increases the frequency of 2-point attempts over time will not be determined solely on the success it has against
them; it will likely be a function of how it works out across the league.
In the end, it will be a minor footnote to the 2015 season. As the process evolves, and the EP kick is moved back further at some future date as I would expect, the impact will be more noticeable.
