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Preseason Week 3 Packers VS Bengals
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<blockquote data-quote="toolkien" data-source="post: 458924" data-attributes="member: 4637"><p>In less than 100 touches of the ball. Peterson touches the ball a hell of a lot more.</p><p> </p><p>Ball security is part of the bread and butter of the Packer formula. It's what has had them arguably the best team in football (regular season anyway) over the last three years. But in the playoffs they gave the ball away a lot in '09 and '11. And Cobb turns the ball over at an above average rate. The offense will grind to a halt if they can't hang onto the ball and/or they give it up.</p><p> </p><p>Teams are .500 at 0 turnover margin (obviously). Already at the +/-1 turnover margin, the winning % moves to 30/70 from 50/50, which is huge.</p><p> </p><p>Turning the ball over 4 (his stats last year said 3 fumbles + the one this preseason) times in <100 touches is too much. He may develop, but simply saying only 3 without proportion isn't the best way to look at it. The proportion will go down over a bigger sample, but if you don't show something better than a 4% fumble/touch ratio, you're not likely to get the bigger sample.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="toolkien, post: 458924, member: 4637"] In less than 100 touches of the ball. Peterson touches the ball a hell of a lot more. Ball security is part of the bread and butter of the Packer formula. It's what has had them arguably the best team in football (regular season anyway) over the last three years. But in the playoffs they gave the ball away a lot in '09 and '11. And Cobb turns the ball over at an above average rate. The offense will grind to a halt if they can't hang onto the ball and/or they give it up. Teams are .500 at 0 turnover margin (obviously). Already at the +/-1 turnover margin, the winning % moves to 30/70 from 50/50, which is huge. Turning the ball over 4 (his stats last year said 3 fumbles + the one this preseason) times in <100 touches is too much. He may develop, but simply saying only 3 without proportion isn't the best way to look at it. The proportion will go down over a bigger sample, but if you don't show something better than a 4% fumble/touch ratio, you're not likely to get the bigger sample. [/QUOTE]
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