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Message: <blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 866066" data-attributes="member: 12283">I do believe that there are certain factors that have proven over time to be somewhat random, and that typically regress to the mean, for better or worse. These factors are games lost to injury, record in one score games, and takeaway numbers (especially fumble recoveries). Now just to head off a potential response, of course teams can potentially be better or worse in maintaining player health, winning close games, or taking the ball away for intentional reasons. However, it's still true that those factors are more subject to random swings than most. So yeah, you could try to build a case for why any team should have had a better/worse record, but not all of those cases would be sound and consistent with what's proven to be true about this league. And lastly, I do believe that scoring differential gives a good idea of what kind of team you are. +45 on the season points to a good, not great club. +10 points to basically an average one.</blockquote>

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