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Packers vs Bears: S103,E1
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<blockquote data-quote="OldSchool101" data-source="post: 1081769" data-attributes="member: 10086"><p>Something I’m noticing that’s very intentional. All the talk is about the Bears Rushing attack. Obviously that is their strength so I get it. That said, on the other the Packers Offense is #1 in the NFL on combined 3rd/4th down % success. The Packers quietly rank #1 on 3rd down success% and #4 on 4th down%. What GB has not done is converted it all to points. Missed FG’s, blocked XP, blocked FG’s etc hampered GB earlier in the season. GB has converted 67.39% of their Redzone trips so far in 2025 (#3 in the NFL). This is up +9% over 2024. In minimal possession games id argue that one of the most important factors is “efficiency” in scoring.</p><p></p><p> The Packers are -1 Rushing TD behind the Bears 14 vs 15. Both teams are tied with 45 total TD’s on Offense. GB is 95 for 401 yards rushing (4.22 per) across the last 3 weeks. 2 of those 3 Defenses we played ranked Top #5,10 in Rushing allowed Per play. When we played #32 NY Giants? we crushed them for 5.6 per carry. Chicago ranks #30 in Rushing yards per play allowed (5.2) So while all the focus is on GB stopping the Run, it’s also just as likely we see GB having success on the ground on the other side of the equation.</p><p></p><p>The GB RB room has a slight advantage of 10.5 days between games. The Packer Coaching staff also had extra preparation in film study of the Bears nuances. It’s one thing to play at lunchtime on Thursday after traveling to Michigan on a 4 day interval VS 10.5 days rest and sleeping in your own bed.</p><p></p><p>GB is no slouch at home in December and in particular under this regime. IMO we are the best team Chicago has faced in 2025. much like Chicago, the Packers are Talent laden everywhere. The Packers OL looks to be gelling, the WR’s are getting healthier. Very possible we see Matt Golden and Jayden Reed in some capacity injected into the Offense this Sunday and both are versatile, high quality, short play options. Also several Run stoppers are practicing again. Quay Walker, Edgerrin Cooper and yes, even Dobbs are all physical, run stopping options that may be injected into the mold. This is not a slouch Run Defense and that’s with or without Wyatt. Lots of physicality and even more speed. Jeff Hafley is still largely underestimated</p><p>I suspect he will employ an extra Box Defender and rely on Xavier to cover deep. Lots of regular 4 DL, 3 LB, 1 SS sets. That with a Safety shooting into the backfield regularly to anticipate a 50% TFL if it’s designed that direction If Chicago is expecting to run for 250+ yards, imo they’ll be severely dismayed snd I mean thoroughly disappointed.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="OldSchool101, post: 1081769, member: 10086"] Something I’m noticing that’s very intentional. All the talk is about the Bears Rushing attack. Obviously that is their strength so I get it. That said, on the other the Packers Offense is #1 in the NFL on combined 3rd/4th down % success. The Packers quietly rank #1 on 3rd down success% and #4 on 4th down%. What GB has not done is converted it all to points. Missed FG’s, blocked XP, blocked FG’s etc hampered GB earlier in the season. GB has converted 67.39% of their Redzone trips so far in 2025 (#3 in the NFL). This is up +9% over 2024. In minimal possession games id argue that one of the most important factors is “efficiency” in scoring. The Packers are -1 Rushing TD behind the Bears 14 vs 15. Both teams are tied with 45 total TD’s on Offense. GB is 95 for 401 yards rushing (4.22 per) across the last 3 weeks. 2 of those 3 Defenses we played ranked Top #5,10 in Rushing allowed Per play. When we played #32 NY Giants? we crushed them for 5.6 per carry. Chicago ranks #30 in Rushing yards per play allowed (5.2) So while all the focus is on GB stopping the Run, it’s also just as likely we see GB having success on the ground on the other side of the equation. The GB RB room has a slight advantage of 10.5 days between games. The Packer Coaching staff also had extra preparation in film study of the Bears nuances. It’s one thing to play at lunchtime on Thursday after traveling to Michigan on a 4 day interval VS 10.5 days rest and sleeping in your own bed. GB is no slouch at home in December and in particular under this regime. IMO we are the best team Chicago has faced in 2025. much like Chicago, the Packers are Talent laden everywhere. The Packers OL looks to be gelling, the WR’s are getting healthier. Very possible we see Matt Golden and Jayden Reed in some capacity injected into the Offense this Sunday and both are versatile, high quality, short play options. Also several Run stoppers are practicing again. Quay Walker, Edgerrin Cooper and yes, even Dobbs are all physical, run stopping options that may be injected into the mold. This is not a slouch Run Defense and that’s with or without Wyatt. Lots of physicality and even more speed. Jeff Hafley is still largely underestimated I suspect he will employ an extra Box Defender and rely on Xavier to cover deep. Lots of regular 4 DL, 3 LB, 1 SS sets. That with a Safety shooting into the backfield regularly to anticipate a 50% TFL if it’s designed that direction If Chicago is expecting to run for 250+ yards, imo they’ll be severely dismayed snd I mean thoroughly disappointed. [/QUOTE]
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