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Lazard Situation...
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<blockquote data-quote="Magooch" data-source="post: 992390" data-attributes="member: 17987"><p>That will be the big question: Is someone going to pay him based on his 2022, or based on that AND prior seasons? </p><p></p><p>You can make a "top 40" argument based on his 2022 numbers. I'm sure that's what his agent will be pushing heavily if he's worth his salt. </p><p></p><p>But at the same time Lazard literally doubled his targets last season (100) compared to his previous career average (~53) and was ostensibly his team's #1 option (and I would argue that was not necessarily by "merit" but more or less by default) which had never been the case either. So I'm sure Lazard's camp will sell up his 2022 but at the same time I suspect any interested party will likely be more amenable to paying him based on factoring in his 2021, 2020, 2019 as well. So while he is a fringe top-40 guy last season that most certainly was NOT the case the prior years and if I had to guess for most teams 2019-2021 is probably more closely in line with the usage/production you'd expect to get out of him rather than 2022. I don't think there are many teams who would seriously be considering him as their #1 option like he was in GB last year and so it would follow that we would expect his production (and pay) to be more in-line with those previous years.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Magooch, post: 992390, member: 17987"] That will be the big question: Is someone going to pay him based on his 2022, or based on that AND prior seasons? You can make a "top 40" argument based on his 2022 numbers. I'm sure that's what his agent will be pushing heavily if he's worth his salt. But at the same time Lazard literally doubled his targets last season (100) compared to his previous career average (~53) and was ostensibly his team's #1 option (and I would argue that was not necessarily by "merit" but more or less by default) which had never been the case either. So I'm sure Lazard's camp will sell up his 2022 but at the same time I suspect any interested party will likely be more amenable to paying him based on factoring in his 2021, 2020, 2019 as well. So while he is a fringe top-40 guy last season that most certainly was NOT the case the prior years and if I had to guess for most teams 2019-2021 is probably more closely in line with the usage/production you'd expect to get out of him rather than 2022. I don't think there are many teams who would seriously be considering him as their #1 option like he was in GB last year and so it would follow that we would expect his production (and pay) to be more in-line with those previous years. [/QUOTE]
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