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Dillon.......keeping defenses honest.
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<blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 875573" data-attributes="member: 12283"><p>So what could Dillon's workload on the ground look like as the RB2 in 2020.</p><p></p><p>Last season, the Packers totaled 984 run attempts or pass attempts as a team. I will work based on that figure. The run/pass ratio was 42% and 58% respectively, which was up from 34% and 66% in 2018. Based on LaFleur's background and what the draft class seemed to signal, I am projecting that the trend towards balance will continue, landing at something like 46% run and 54% pass.</p><p></p><p>46% run of the 984 total would mean 453 rushing attempts. </p><p></p><p>Rodgers scrambles accounted for 43 attempts in 2018 and 46 in 2019, so we will project 45 in 2020, which would leave 408.</p><p></p><p>Aaron Jones is extremely talented, but best suited to a lower work load than what he saw in 2019, especially considering his heavy usage in the passing game. I would guess that taking a RB in the 2nd was partially motivated by a desire to keep him from being over-used. So I will project 215 carries for Jones, which leaves 193.</p><p></p><p>Last year, there was a smattering of what I will call "random attempts" that came from guys like Tra Carson, Tim Boyle, WR's, etc. These sub 10 carry types collectively accounted for 22 carries. If we assume 20 this season, that leaves 173.</p><p></p><p>Jamaal Williams is the most difficult part of this exercise for me. Last year, he had 107 carries, but he was not inspiring with them. Again, the drafting of a 2nd round running back seems to signal a dissatisfaction with the depth behind Jones. So I am going to project a much smaller role of 25 carries in 2020 based on what I think the team is saying with their draft decisions.</p><p></p><p>So that would leave 148 carries for Dillon, assuming that he's showing himself worthy in camp as the RB2 as we all should probably expect. So what would 148 carries amount to? Here are the yardage totals along the YPC spectrum from the disappointing 4.0 to the unrealistic 5.0.</p><p></p><p>4.0: 592</p><p>4.1: 607</p><p>4.2: 622</p><p>4.3: 636</p><p>4.4: 651</p><p>4.5: 666</p><p>4.6: 681</p><p>4.7: 696</p><p>4.8: 710</p><p>4.9: 725</p><p>5.0: 740</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dantés, post: 875573, member: 12283"] So what could Dillon's workload on the ground look like as the RB2 in 2020. Last season, the Packers totaled 984 run attempts or pass attempts as a team. I will work based on that figure. The run/pass ratio was 42% and 58% respectively, which was up from 34% and 66% in 2018. Based on LaFleur's background and what the draft class seemed to signal, I am projecting that the trend towards balance will continue, landing at something like 46% run and 54% pass. 46% run of the 984 total would mean 453 rushing attempts. Rodgers scrambles accounted for 43 attempts in 2018 and 46 in 2019, so we will project 45 in 2020, which would leave 408. Aaron Jones is extremely talented, but best suited to a lower work load than what he saw in 2019, especially considering his heavy usage in the passing game. I would guess that taking a RB in the 2nd was partially motivated by a desire to keep him from being over-used. So I will project 215 carries for Jones, which leaves 193. Last year, there was a smattering of what I will call "random attempts" that came from guys like Tra Carson, Tim Boyle, WR's, etc. These sub 10 carry types collectively accounted for 22 carries. If we assume 20 this season, that leaves 173. Jamaal Williams is the most difficult part of this exercise for me. Last year, he had 107 carries, but he was not inspiring with them. Again, the drafting of a 2nd round running back seems to signal a dissatisfaction with the depth behind Jones. So I am going to project a much smaller role of 25 carries in 2020 based on what I think the team is saying with their draft decisions. So that would leave 148 carries for Dillon, assuming that he's showing himself worthy in camp as the RB2 as we all should probably expect. So what would 148 carries amount to? Here are the yardage totals along the YPC spectrum from the disappointing 4.0 to the unrealistic 5.0. 4.0: 592 4.1: 607 4.2: 622 4.3: 636 4.4: 651 4.5: 666 4.6: 681 4.7: 696 4.8: 710 4.9: 725 5.0: 740 [/QUOTE]
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