Reply to thread

Message: <blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 718515" data-attributes="member: 12283">Well we have to define "significant" but yeah I do. That's typically what happens with such outstanding offenses.The 2013 Broncos went from 37.9 points/game to 30.1 2014.The 2011 Packers went from 35 to 27 in 2012. The 2012 Patriots went from 34.8 to 27.8 in 2013. The 1998 Vikings went from 34.8 to 24.9 in 1999.The 2011 Saints went from 34.2 to 28.8 in 2012. The 2004 Colts went from 32.6 to 27.4 in 2005.There are exceptions. The Patriots maintained ~32 from 2010-11. The Rams maintained ~33 from 1999 to 2000.However, of the top 10 (excluding 2007 Pats b/c they lost Brady in '08 and obvious the '16 Falcons), there was an average regression of 5.6 points per game. If that applied to the Falcons, that would take them from 33.8 per game to 28.2.The bottom line is that regression for elite units is normal. Then you consider that they lost maybe the best OC in the game and yeah, I totally expect significant regression.</blockquote>

Total: 182 (members: 3, guests: 179)