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All the draft complaining...let's look over the past 10 seasons...
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 879031"><p>Not if he's sitting on the bench or off the game day roster.</p><p></p><p>This Shanahan clone stuff is way overbaked. What he does is more a function of the talent on hand than a run-first philosophy. The quality of the defense factors in as well as the inclination to run the ball with the lead increases with the ability of the defense to keep points off the board, one that led the league in yards per attempt at 5.9. Anyway, if you're going to go the clone route, consider the following:</p><p></p><p><strong>49ers 2019 Super Bowl season</strong></p><p><strong></strong></p><p>1063 offensive snaps</p><p>424 RB carries</p><p>79 RB targets</p><p><strong>47% RB focus</strong></p><p></p><p><strong>Falcons 2016 Super Bowl season </strong></p><p><strong></strong></p><p>1042 offensive snaps</p><p>379 RB carries</p><p>107 targets</p><p><strong>47% RB focus</strong></p><p>#3 RB - Terron Ward, 66 offensive snaps (64%), 31 carries and 2 targets in 5 games played; the #2 Coleman missed three games</p><p></p><p><strong>Packers 2019 season</strong></p><p><strong></strong></p><p>1078 offensive snaps</p><p>355 RB carries</p><p>121 RB targets</p><p><strong>44% RB focus</strong></p><p>#3 RB - Carson or Ervin, each with 24 offensive snaps; the #2 Williams missed two games.</p><p></p><p>So, which Shanahan offense is LaFleur looking to clone? Looks more like his Atlanta offense. If you want to move 31 plays, two per game, from passing to RB carries to get up to 47% RB focus, then you're strikingly similar to the 2016 Falcons. Fine. That's not a schematic difference, just a slight shift in emphasis. Some or all of those 31 carries could go to Ervin, a guy LaFleur wanted to get more involved, kinda tough coming in cold at week 13.</p><p></p><p>In the world of adapting to the talent on hand, you might want to consider SF was adapting to the talent on hand and ongoing injuries and limited or unreliable snap counts. The most offensive snaps by their #4 RB in any one game was 3 by Wilson in Week 8. The total for the season was 5.</p><p></p><p>Coleman missed weeks 2 and 3, Mostert missed week 7, took 14 snaps in week 8 and 2 in week 9 suggesting he was limited putting Wilson on the game day roster for those 5 carries. Breida missed weeks 11, 12, 13 and 16, with only 32 snaps in 14, 15 and 17 incating he was limited.</p><p></p><p>Thinking that SF carried 4 RBs on the game day roster just because is an illusion. Their top 3 missed 7 games with indications at in least 5 other games that a guy was deemed unreliable with a lingering injury. Maybe all 16 games affected by injury to the top 3 to one degree or another. In this case carrying 4 RBs on the game day roster, which was not every week, would have been a function of possibly being down to 3 by the end of the first series. That's how you end up with a top 3 splitting carries equally over a season, each with a low count. You also have to consider how this would have shaked out if their true #1 McKinnon had not ended up on IR for the entire season.</p><p></p><p>Now, I have no doubt the Packers will carry 4 RBs on the 53 man roster including Ervin. They would also want to carry 4 on the game day roster if somebody not named Ervin is questionable as to how far he can go in which case you might need to game day activate a returner, maybe somebody off the PS under the new rules.</p><p></p><p>You don't draft a RB in the second round without expecting to use him a lot. Williams is a good player and a bargain in my estimation as a #2. But the Packers are not expecting him to be the #2, are they? Now you're paying Williams to be the Maytag repairman. It's hard to see that happening. Dillon may not be ready for prime time and there's little question they'd protect him on the roster.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 879031"] Not if he's sitting on the bench or off the game day roster. This Shanahan clone stuff is way overbaked. What he does is more a function of the talent on hand than a run-first philosophy. The quality of the defense factors in as well as the inclination to run the ball with the lead increases with the ability of the defense to keep points off the board, one that led the league in yards per attempt at 5.9. Anyway, if you're going to go the clone route, consider the following: [B]49ers 2019 Super Bowl season [/B] 1063 offensive snaps 424 RB carries 79 RB targets [B]47% RB focus[/B] [B]Falcons 2016 Super Bowl season [/B] 1042 offensive snaps 379 RB carries 107 targets [B]47% RB focus[/B] #3 RB - Terron Ward, 66 offensive snaps (64%), 31 carries and 2 targets in 5 games played; the #2 Coleman missed three games [B]Packers 2019 season [/B] 1078 offensive snaps 355 RB carries 121 RB targets [B]44% RB focus[/B] #3 RB - Carson or Ervin, each with 24 offensive snaps; the #2 Williams missed two games. So, which Shanahan offense is LaFleur looking to clone? Looks more like his Atlanta offense. If you want to move 31 plays, two per game, from passing to RB carries to get up to 47% RB focus, then you're strikingly similar to the 2016 Falcons. Fine. That's not a schematic difference, just a slight shift in emphasis. Some or all of those 31 carries could go to Ervin, a guy LaFleur wanted to get more involved, kinda tough coming in cold at week 13. In the world of adapting to the talent on hand, you might want to consider SF was adapting to the talent on hand and ongoing injuries and limited or unreliable snap counts. The most offensive snaps by their #4 RB in any one game was 3 by Wilson in Week 8. The total for the season was 5. Coleman missed weeks 2 and 3, Mostert missed week 7, took 14 snaps in week 8 and 2 in week 9 suggesting he was limited putting Wilson on the game day roster for those 5 carries. Breida missed weeks 11, 12, 13 and 16, with only 32 snaps in 14, 15 and 17 incating he was limited. Thinking that SF carried 4 RBs on the game day roster just because is an illusion. Their top 3 missed 7 games with indications at in least 5 other games that a guy was deemed unreliable with a lingering injury. Maybe all 16 games affected by injury to the top 3 to one degree or another. In this case carrying 4 RBs on the game day roster, which was not every week, would have been a function of possibly being down to 3 by the end of the first series. That's how you end up with a top 3 splitting carries equally over a season, each with a low count. You also have to consider how this would have shaked out if their true #1 McKinnon had not ended up on IR for the entire season. Now, I have no doubt the Packers will carry 4 RBs on the 53 man roster including Ervin. They would also want to carry 4 on the game day roster if somebody not named Ervin is questionable as to how far he can go in which case you might need to game day activate a returner, maybe somebody off the PS under the new rules. You don't draft a RB in the second round without expecting to use him a lot. Williams is a good player and a bargain in my estimation as a #2. But the Packers are not expecting him to be the #2, are they? Now you're paying Williams to be the Maytag repairman. It's hard to see that happening. Dillon may not be ready for prime time and there's little question they'd protect him on the roster. [/QUOTE]
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All the draft complaining...let's look over the past 10 seasons...
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