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why Free Agency is buyer beware
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 574232"><p>These kinds of discussions always revolve around the big names.</p><p></p><p>He's another kind of example to chew on.</p><p></p><p>In 2013, the Bills were 28th. in the league in ground yards surrendered and 23rd. in average run surrendered at 4.4.</p><p></p><p>That's with 3 Pro Bowlers in the D-Line and a decent player in the 4th. spot.</p><p></p><p>In 2014 to date, the Bills are 5th. in ground yards surrendered and 3rd. in average run surrendered with 2.8 with no changes in the front 4.</p><p></p><p>What's going on with that dramatic improvement?</p><p></p><p>Did the Bills cut back on the jet rushes to stop the run? Not really. They had an outstanding 3.6 sacks per game last year and a very good 2.8 sacks per game this year. Believe me, these guys tee off on any down approximating a passing situation.</p><p></p><p>Are they just keying the run at the expense of the pass in the back 7? Not really. Their passer-rating-against last season was 3rd. in the league at 74.2. In 2014 to date it's still very good at 86.8 for 11th. in the league. The difference is easily accounted for in losing Byrd to free agency and Alonzo to an ACL, with 8 INTs between them last season.</p><p></p><p>The most plausible answer, and the one that pops out with any kind of eye test, is the signing of MLB Brandon Spikes to a 1 year, $3 million deal in free agency to anchor the middle. Alonzo was just too soft to play MLB and was going to be moved to the outside before he blew his ACL. Bradham, a second year player, took his spot and has been quite decent.</p><p></p><p>But it's Spikes, a load in the middle, who sticks out in fixing that run game. He came in with a rep as one of the top MLB enforcers in the league. Just what the doctor ordered.</p><p></p><p>After I first saw Tullock play in Detroit after he was initially signed by Detroit in 2011 free agency, I was quite surprised to look up his salary and see he was signed for 1 year at $2 mil. He played well enough to get a 5 year/$25 mil deal from Detroit the following year and he's earned that money...until his freak celebration injury anyway.</p><p></p><p>That's just a couple of examples of bargain players who made an impact.</p><p></p><p>Nobody ever talks about those kinds of guys.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 574232"] These kinds of discussions always revolve around the big names. He's another kind of example to chew on. In 2013, the Bills were 28th. in the league in ground yards surrendered and 23rd. in average run surrendered at 4.4. That's with 3 Pro Bowlers in the D-Line and a decent player in the 4th. spot. In 2014 to date, the Bills are 5th. in ground yards surrendered and 3rd. in average run surrendered with 2.8 with no changes in the front 4. What's going on with that dramatic improvement? Did the Bills cut back on the jet rushes to stop the run? Not really. They had an outstanding 3.6 sacks per game last year and a very good 2.8 sacks per game this year. Believe me, these guys tee off on any down approximating a passing situation. Are they just keying the run at the expense of the pass in the back 7? Not really. Their passer-rating-against last season was 3rd. in the league at 74.2. In 2014 to date it's still very good at 86.8 for 11th. in the league. The difference is easily accounted for in losing Byrd to free agency and Alonzo to an ACL, with 8 INTs between them last season. The most plausible answer, and the one that pops out with any kind of eye test, is the signing of MLB Brandon Spikes to a 1 year, $3 million deal in free agency to anchor the middle. Alonzo was just too soft to play MLB and was going to be moved to the outside before he blew his ACL. Bradham, a second year player, took his spot and has been quite decent. But it's Spikes, a load in the middle, who sticks out in fixing that run game. He came in with a rep as one of the top MLB enforcers in the league. Just what the doctor ordered. After I first saw Tullock play in Detroit after he was initially signed by Detroit in 2011 free agency, I was quite surprised to look up his salary and see he was signed for 1 year at $2 mil. He played well enough to get a 5 year/$25 mil deal from Detroit the following year and he's earned that money...until his freak celebration injury anyway. That's just a couple of examples of bargain players who made an impact. Nobody ever talks about those kinds of guys. [/QUOTE]
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