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Where Are You Taking Crazy Pills?
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<blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 995652" data-attributes="member: 12283"><p>To be clear-- I think Witherspoon is a great prospect. But I see the draft as a game of percentages. The way to be successful is to find the overlap of 1) guys you like on tape and 2) guys who fit the mold of what has succeeded in the NFL. </p><p></p><p>Most people love Witherspoon on tape, but the success rate of a 6'0" 180# corner is tiny. That doesn't mean he can't succeed-- of course he can. But history says his odds are terrible.</p><p></p><p>It's the same logic with Skoronski. Everyone loves his tape at tackle. OL with sub 33" arms that are good at tackle virtually don't exist. So given that the hit rate in the draft isn't super high to begin with, is it wise to bet on an outlier?</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dantés, post: 995652, member: 12283"] To be clear-- I think Witherspoon is a great prospect. But I see the draft as a game of percentages. The way to be successful is to find the overlap of 1) guys you like on tape and 2) guys who fit the mold of what has succeeded in the NFL. Most people love Witherspoon on tape, but the success rate of a 6'0" 180# corner is tiny. That doesn't mean he can't succeed-- of course he can. But history says his odds are terrible. It's the same logic with Skoronski. Everyone loves his tape at tackle. OL with sub 33" arms that are good at tackle virtually don't exist. So given that the hit rate in the draft isn't super high to begin with, is it wise to bet on an outlier? [/QUOTE]
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