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Week 5: Packers @ Lions
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 791326"><p>It's a smallish sample size in sloppy early season football. It's probably worth looking at each Detroit game to get a better sense of these stats. I've excluded QB runs from the rushing stats (this ain't college ball).</p><p></p><p><strong>Week 1</strong></p><p></p><p>Darnold: 116.8 passer rating, 2 sacks</p><p>Non-QB runs: 30 for 168, 2 TDs, 5.6 avg.</p><p></p><p><strong>Week 2</strong></p><p><strong></strong></p><p>Garoppolo: 118.4 passer rating,<strong> 6 sacks</strong></p><p>Non-QB runs: 25 for 186, 1 TD, 7.4 avg.</p><p><strong></strong></p><p><strong>Week 3</strong></p><p><strong></strong></p><p>Brady:<strong> 65.1 passer rating</strong>, 2 sacks</p><p>Non-QB runs: 18 for 87, 0 TDs, 4.8 avg.</p><p></p><p><strong>Week 4</strong></p><p><strong></strong></p><p>Prescott: 118.6 passer rating, 3 sacks</p><p>Non-QB runs: 31 for 181, 0 TDs, 5.7 avg.</p><p></p><p>A couple of things jump out:</p><p></p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">6 of Detroit's 13 sacks came against SF. That didn't stop SF from putting up 30 points and 346 yds on 60 plays.</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">All 4 opponents have been able to run the ball effectively, with the ability to adjust for Elliott by week 4 not in evidence while also not being affective against the pass in that game</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Brady's performance is an obvious abberation and outlier, and while the rushing average in that game is impressive it actually drove down the 4 game average</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Excluding the abberant week 2 Patriot's performance, while carving out QB runs from the data, Detroit's passing and rushing defense has been even worse than it appears.</li> </ul><p>While past performance is no guarantee of future returns, to date this is a pretty bad defense. That said, I would expect the Packers to use the run more often than average unless they get in an early hole.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 791326"] It's a smallish sample size in sloppy early season football. It's probably worth looking at each Detroit game to get a better sense of these stats. I've excluded QB runs from the rushing stats (this ain't college ball). [B]Week 1[/B] Darnold: 116.8 passer rating, 2 sacks Non-QB runs: 30 for 168, 2 TDs, 5.6 avg. [B]Week 2 [/B] Garoppolo: 118.4 passer rating,[B] 6 sacks[/B] Non-QB runs: 25 for 186, 1 TD, 7.4 avg. [B] Week 3 [/B] Brady:[B] 65.1 passer rating[/B], 2 sacks Non-QB runs: 18 for 87, 0 TDs, 4.8 avg. [B]Week 4 [/B] Prescott: 118.6 passer rating, 3 sacks Non-QB runs: 31 for 181, 0 TDs, 5.7 avg. A couple of things jump out: [LIST] [*]6 of Detroit's 13 sacks came against SF. That didn't stop SF from putting up 30 points and 346 yds on 60 plays. [*]All 4 opponents have been able to run the ball effectively, with the ability to adjust for Elliott by week 4 not in evidence while also not being affective against the pass in that game [*]Brady's performance is an obvious abberation and outlier, and while the rushing average in that game is impressive it actually drove down the 4 game average [*]Excluding the abberant week 2 Patriot's performance, while carving out QB runs from the data, Detroit's passing and rushing defense has been even worse than it appears. [/LIST] While past performance is no guarantee of future returns, to date this is a pretty bad defense. That said, I would expect the Packers to use the run more often than average unless they get in an early hole. [/QUOTE]
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