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Week 5: Packers @ Lions
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<blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 791262" data-attributes="member: 12283"><p>On the season, Matthew Stafford is 112/165 for 1202 yards, 68% completion, 7.3 YPA, 8 TD, and 5 INT.</p><p></p><p>Those numbers obviously reflect that disastrous week one performance. Obviously it happened and it counts, but it doesn't reflect how he's been playing since. In the past three (@SF, NE, @DAL), he's 85/119 for 916 yards, 71% completion, 7.7 YPA, 7 TD, and 1 INT. For perspective (since we're often used to full season stats) that's a full season pace of: 4885 yards, 37 TD, 5 INT.</p><p></p><p>In other words, the passing attack has been very dangerous. And that stands to reason-- they have three very good wide receivers who can take turns hurting a defense. </p><p></p><p>The running game has also woken up after years of slumber, due mainly to rookie Kerryon Johnson. On the season, they are 86/392/4.6 as a team on the ground. But that once again factors a disastrous week one game and isn't a good picture of what they're doing coming into this game. Since week two, they're sitting at 5.0 yards per carry. This is primarily due to Johnson's 5.7 YPC. So while they often choose to pass far more than they run, they appear to be totally capable of balance. </p><p></p><p>As has been mentioned, their major weakness is run defense. They've already allowed four different players to average 5 or more YPC on 10+ carries in a game (Crowell, 10/102; Powell, 12/60; Breida, 11/138; Elliott, 25/152). They've also really struggled with running backs catching passes out of the backfield. </p><p></p><p>Their pass defense is statistically strong. Surprisingly, they're 4th in the league in sacks at 13 (tied with the Packers, in fact). Some relative unknowns are making big contributions: Eli Harold (3), Devon Kennard (4). </p><p></p><p>Their secondary is solid as far as I know. Slay is an excellent corner, and Quinn and Diggs are both solid starters. </p><p></p><p>My guess is that the skewed defensive statistics are a combination of a weak run defense and some legitimate talent when it comes to pass defense.</p><p></p><p>The Lions are going to get theirs in terms of yards. The winning formula will be strong RZ defense that forces field goals. On offense, I hope to see Jones early and often. </p><p></p><p>24-23 Packers</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dantés, post: 791262, member: 12283"] On the season, Matthew Stafford is 112/165 for 1202 yards, 68% completion, 7.3 YPA, 8 TD, and 5 INT. Those numbers obviously reflect that disastrous week one performance. Obviously it happened and it counts, but it doesn't reflect how he's been playing since. In the past three (@SF, NE, @DAL), he's 85/119 for 916 yards, 71% completion, 7.7 YPA, 7 TD, and 1 INT. For perspective (since we're often used to full season stats) that's a full season pace of: 4885 yards, 37 TD, 5 INT. In other words, the passing attack has been very dangerous. And that stands to reason-- they have three very good wide receivers who can take turns hurting a defense. The running game has also woken up after years of slumber, due mainly to rookie Kerryon Johnson. On the season, they are 86/392/4.6 as a team on the ground. But that once again factors a disastrous week one game and isn't a good picture of what they're doing coming into this game. Since week two, they're sitting at 5.0 yards per carry. This is primarily due to Johnson's 5.7 YPC. So while they often choose to pass far more than they run, they appear to be totally capable of balance. As has been mentioned, their major weakness is run defense. They've already allowed four different players to average 5 or more YPC on 10+ carries in a game (Crowell, 10/102; Powell, 12/60; Breida, 11/138; Elliott, 25/152). They've also really struggled with running backs catching passes out of the backfield. Their pass defense is statistically strong. Surprisingly, they're 4th in the league in sacks at 13 (tied with the Packers, in fact). Some relative unknowns are making big contributions: Eli Harold (3), Devon Kennard (4). Their secondary is solid as far as I know. Slay is an excellent corner, and Quinn and Diggs are both solid starters. My guess is that the skewed defensive statistics are a combination of a weak run defense and some legitimate talent when it comes to pass defense. The Lions are going to get theirs in terms of yards. The winning formula will be strong RZ defense that forces field goals. On offense, I hope to see Jones early and often. 24-23 Packers [/QUOTE]
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