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Week 4: Buffalo at Green Bay - Time to bounce back
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 790189"><p>Now, did you read <em>my </em>post? I agreed with that point in saying, "Don't get me wrong, House has played badly." It's Bukowski that the Captain and I disagree with.</p><p></p><p>You are correct in observing that House's interference was a bad look. It was 3rd. and 2 at the Packer 9 yard line. If he makes a play on the ball and not the receiver then Washington likely kicks the field goal. Tagging House for 4 points is fair. Correlating his presence on the field with 28 point was an exercise, to repeat, in shallow data mining, a correlation without causation.</p><p></p><p>I thought the 28 point false correlation in the Redskins game was sufficient to put Bukowski's thesis to bed. The 22 points Bukowski correlates to the quarters House played in the Vikes game must be confined to the 4th. quarter where they in fact scored 22 points. Since it's not a golf day, and there are only 3 scoring drives on 20 plays to look at including the 2 point coversion, I'll go ahead and do that from the game replay out of curiosity.</p><p></p><p><strong>First possession, 9 plays, 71 yards, 7 points</strong></p><p><strong></strong></p><p>2nd. play: House was targetted with Thielen for a 4 yards short of the first down.</p><p></p><p><strong>Second possession, 2 plays, 75 yards, 7 points </strong></p><p></p><p>Diggs beat House on the 75 yard TD</p><p></p><p><strong>Third possession, 8 plays, 75 yards, 8 points</strong></p><p><strong></strong></p><p>House was not on the field.</p><p></p><p>This was, of course, the drive featuring the infamous Matthews roughing call / Alexander pick that would have sealed the game. The touchdown to Thielen on this drive was the other infamous play where both Brice and Alexander had a hot at making a play on that ball, but they both took their eyes off it and stopped short as they saw each other about to collide.</p><p></p><p>House didn't play in the Bears game.</p><p></p><p>In conclusion, we could reasonably tag House for 11 points on 30 snaps plus the PI call. That's not good. But it does not account for the other 39 points scored in quarters where House was on the field or the points scored when he wasn't. The notion that House will no longer be playing is some kind of cure to what ails is a very incomplete picture.</p><p></p><p>I'm a little reluctant to make the following point given recent contentiousness, but since you insisted on pressing the point, I'll plow right ahead.</p><p></p><p>You said, "I can't really vet [Bukowski], mind you, so I can't confirm this is absolutely true." It was partially vetted initially by myself and the Captain. Now it is, I think, fully vetted. Are we OK now?</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 790189"] Now, did you read [I]my [/I]post? I agreed with that point in saying, "Don't get me wrong, House has played badly." It's Bukowski that the Captain and I disagree with. You are correct in observing that House's interference was a bad look. It was 3rd. and 2 at the Packer 9 yard line. If he makes a play on the ball and not the receiver then Washington likely kicks the field goal. Tagging House for 4 points is fair. Correlating his presence on the field with 28 point was an exercise, to repeat, in shallow data mining, a correlation without causation. I thought the 28 point false correlation in the Redskins game was sufficient to put Bukowski's thesis to bed. The 22 points Bukowski correlates to the quarters House played in the Vikes game must be confined to the 4th. quarter where they in fact scored 22 points. Since it's not a golf day, and there are only 3 scoring drives on 20 plays to look at including the 2 point coversion, I'll go ahead and do that from the game replay out of curiosity. [B]First possession, 9 plays, 71 yards, 7 points [/B] 2nd. play: House was targetted with Thielen for a 4 yards short of the first down. [B]Second possession, 2 plays, 75 yards, 7 points [/B] Diggs beat House on the 75 yard TD [B]Third possession, 8 plays, 75 yards, 8 points [/B] House was not on the field. This was, of course, the drive featuring the infamous Matthews roughing call / Alexander pick that would have sealed the game. The touchdown to Thielen on this drive was the other infamous play where both Brice and Alexander had a hot at making a play on that ball, but they both took their eyes off it and stopped short as they saw each other about to collide. House didn't play in the Bears game. In conclusion, we could reasonably tag House for 11 points on 30 snaps plus the PI call. That's not good. But it does not account for the other 39 points scored in quarters where House was on the field or the points scored when he wasn't. The notion that House will no longer be playing is some kind of cure to what ails is a very incomplete picture. I'm a little reluctant to make the following point given recent contentiousness, but since you insisted on pressing the point, I'll plow right ahead. You said, "I can't really vet [Bukowski], mind you, so I can't confirm this is absolutely true." It was partially vetted initially by myself and the Captain. Now it is, I think, fully vetted. Are we OK now? [/QUOTE]
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