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Message: <blockquote data-quote="Deleted member 6794" data-source="post: 983525">You're right that the Packers need other teams to lose games but it's pretty realistic to expect the Seahawks to lose to Chiefs, which would guarantee they would end up behind Green Bay if we end up winning the next three games. There's a decent chance the Commanders lose to the Niners and Cowboys as well.I guess the Giants will end up with a better record than the Packers as I expect them to beat the Colts in week 17. That leaves only one spot available in the playoffs. In my opinion the Seahawks will at least lose one of their remaining games and there's a distinct possibility the Commanders lose two of their remaining games.That leaves us with a possible tiebreaker with the Lions at 9-8. While it seems at this point Detroit has a huge advantage over the Packers at a strength of victory at .500 compared to Green Bay's of .393 it's worth taking a closer look at those numbers.After yesterday's win over the Rams the teams Green Bay has defeated this season have a combined record of 33-51. The ones the Lions have beaten stand at 48-48-2.Now let's take a look at the remaining opponents of the two teams. The Packers would have to win against Miami (currently 8-6, their record would drop to 8-7), Minnesota (11-3, 11-4) and the Lions (which would finish at 9-8). On the other hand the Lions would add wins over Carolina (5-9, 5-10) and the Bears (3-11, 3-12).With some of those games adding wins and losses to opponents both teams have already defeated and assuming the Commanders finish at 8-8-1 at best it would add up to the following:Green Bay strength of victory: .459 (61-72)Lions strength of victory: .449 (60-74-2)You have to realize that in that scenario there are still 20 games unaccounted for for the Packers as well as 17 for the Lions which could change those numbers in favor of the Lions. If you believe the Packers will be able to win their remaining games and want them to make the playoffs you better start rooting for the Bucs, Patriots, Cowboys, Bears, Rams and Dolphins to win as many of their remaining games as possible.Good analysis, as you can see above I went into a little more detail to explain it  <img src="/styles/default/xenforo/smilies/wink.png"  class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=";)" title="Wink    ;)" data-shortname=";)" />As mentioned above, it's probable the Packers would end up winning a tiebreaker over the Lions.That's not true, see my analysis above.</blockquote>

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