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Tracking playoff positioning
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<blockquote data-quote="Magooch" data-source="post: 982361" data-attributes="member: 17987"><p>Captain said it - need two out of three to happen (and, IMO this would be the order of most to least probable): </p><p></p><p>Giants lose 4/5</p><p>Commanders lose 3/4</p><p>Seahawks lose 3/5</p><p></p><p>Giants play the Eagles, the Commanders, the Vikings, the Colts, and the Eagles. They should definitely be favored over the Colts, but I would assume are underdogs against the Eagles and Vikings and of course just played to a tie with the Commanders. Currently FiveThirtyEight's projections have the Eagles favored by 6.5, Commanders by 5, Vikings by 7.5, Giants by 2, and Eagles by 10.5, so naturally if that all played out as projected that would be one win and four losses. Checkmark. </p><p></p><p>Commanders play the Giants again; as above they are favored by 5 points and of course would probably need to win that in order for the Giants to get to four losses. With a win there that would mean needing to lose their remaining three matches: 49ers, Browns, and Cowboys. Current projections are 49ers by 1, Commanders by 0.5, and Cowboys by 5.5 - SF is a bit of a wild card with Jimmy G's injury, but they didn't really miss a beat this last week. Same with the Browns - if they get a "pre-suspension" Deshaun Watson then I would think they should win it. But he looked pretty rusty last week, to say the least. Cowboys should win handily.</p><p></p><p>With Seattle it's a bit harder for me to see it. They play the Panthers, 49ers, Chiefs, Jets, and Rams. I would confidently pick the Chiefs to win, but I don't know about the rest... Currently it's at Seahawks by 5.5, Seahawks by 3, Chiefs by 9, Seahawks by 3.5, and Seahawks by 4.5 - so you'd need to see two "upsets" to really have much chance there. That's why I see NYG and Wash as more likely. </p><p></p><p>Of course this all requires us winning out too which I am not super confident on yet. Our remaining games are presently projected at: Packers by 10 over Rams, Dolphins by 5.5, Vikings by 2.5, and Packers by 2.5.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Magooch, post: 982361, member: 17987"] Captain said it - need two out of three to happen (and, IMO this would be the order of most to least probable): Giants lose 4/5 Commanders lose 3/4 Seahawks lose 3/5 Giants play the Eagles, the Commanders, the Vikings, the Colts, and the Eagles. They should definitely be favored over the Colts, but I would assume are underdogs against the Eagles and Vikings and of course just played to a tie with the Commanders. Currently FiveThirtyEight's projections have the Eagles favored by 6.5, Commanders by 5, Vikings by 7.5, Giants by 2, and Eagles by 10.5, so naturally if that all played out as projected that would be one win and four losses. Checkmark. Commanders play the Giants again; as above they are favored by 5 points and of course would probably need to win that in order for the Giants to get to four losses. With a win there that would mean needing to lose their remaining three matches: 49ers, Browns, and Cowboys. Current projections are 49ers by 1, Commanders by 0.5, and Cowboys by 5.5 - SF is a bit of a wild card with Jimmy G's injury, but they didn't really miss a beat this last week. Same with the Browns - if they get a "pre-suspension" Deshaun Watson then I would think they should win it. But he looked pretty rusty last week, to say the least. Cowboys should win handily. With Seattle it's a bit harder for me to see it. They play the Panthers, 49ers, Chiefs, Jets, and Rams. I would confidently pick the Chiefs to win, but I don't know about the rest... Currently it's at Seahawks by 5.5, Seahawks by 3, Chiefs by 9, Seahawks by 3.5, and Seahawks by 4.5 - so you'd need to see two "upsets" to really have much chance there. That's why I see NYG and Wash as more likely. Of course this all requires us winning out too which I am not super confident on yet. Our remaining games are presently projected at: Packers by 10 over Rams, Dolphins by 5.5, Vikings by 2.5, and Packers by 2.5. [/QUOTE]
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