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The Spectre of 2017 FA's
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 658132"><p>Frankly, I didn't like the contract either, and said so at the time, because like you I see Crosby as being overrated.</p><p></p><p>The point being, to think of him as the #2 average pay kicker in the league at the time of the deal (and now #3) as an affront to all that is cap and holy, is somewhat of an exaggeration as he'll fall down the list in pretty short order.</p><p></p><p>The deal is an expression of risk aversion, the devil you know being better than the one you don't. Risk aversion is a Thompson hallmark. Every philosophy has it's strengths and weaknesses, and if one is OK with Thompson this is taking a little of the bad to go with the good, with the bad improving as Crosby works his way through this contract.</p><p></p><p>A rookie, no matter how good in college, represents a risk when placed under NFL pressure or developing a different holder chemistry. Further, if you look at the better kicker prospects in this draft, for instance, you'll be hard pressed to find one who did much cold weather duty. While Crosby's cold weather rep is not up to common perception, as you so well supported in that post from a few weeks back, it can be worse. We remember the kickers who make it, but forget (or more likely never knew) the ones who don't get past camp or preseason.</p><p></p><p>In other words, I don't see it as a good deal, but I don't see as any kind of game changer either. If Thompson looks like he overpaid by $1 million per year, that will improve as we move along.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 658132"] Frankly, I didn't like the contract either, and said so at the time, because like you I see Crosby as being overrated. The point being, to think of him as the #2 average pay kicker in the league at the time of the deal (and now #3) as an affront to all that is cap and holy, is somewhat of an exaggeration as he'll fall down the list in pretty short order. The deal is an expression of risk aversion, the devil you know being better than the one you don't. Risk aversion is a Thompson hallmark. Every philosophy has it's strengths and weaknesses, and if one is OK with Thompson this is taking a little of the bad to go with the good, with the bad improving as Crosby works his way through this contract. A rookie, no matter how good in college, represents a risk when placed under NFL pressure or developing a different holder chemistry. Further, if you look at the better kicker prospects in this draft, for instance, you'll be hard pressed to find one who did much cold weather duty. While Crosby's cold weather rep is not up to common perception, as you so well supported in that post from a few weeks back, it can be worse. We remember the kickers who make it, but forget (or more likely never knew) the ones who don't get past camp or preseason. In other words, I don't see it as a good deal, but I don't see as any kind of game changer either. If Thompson looks like he overpaid by $1 million per year, that will improve as we move along. [/QUOTE]
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