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The Rodgers to Rodgers Hail Mary in historical perspective.
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<blockquote data-quote="Half Empty" data-source="post: 639086" data-attributes="member: 10288"><p>Actually, I wasn't implying anything, just quoting. However, forced to go back and look a little, there are all sorts of huh? components. First, it's an article about Hail Mary passes, and I think of those as "throw it a long way to the end zone and see if one of our guys can come down with it" plays - implicit in that is not really having it planned out. Therefore, I'd eliminate (certainly) any plays from inside the 10 (or maybe even) the 20 - there are plays designed with routes and blocking to attempt picking up that yardage. Those, to me are just the last play of the game, not Hail Marys.</p><p></p><p>Next, the percentages almost disappear outside the 40, which pretty much is as expected, but the 71-80 range has a success rate of nearly 5%, which means at least 20 tries - seems way high, unless they're again counting the last play as a Hail Mary and there have been a significant number of those.</p><p></p><p>So, as with most things sports, and most things statistical, we need a lot more information</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Half Empty, post: 639086, member: 10288"] Actually, I wasn't implying anything, just quoting. However, forced to go back and look a little, there are all sorts of huh? components. First, it's an article about Hail Mary passes, and I think of those as "throw it a long way to the end zone and see if one of our guys can come down with it" plays - implicit in that is not really having it planned out. Therefore, I'd eliminate (certainly) any plays from inside the 10 (or maybe even) the 20 - there are plays designed with routes and blocking to attempt picking up that yardage. Those, to me are just the last play of the game, not Hail Marys. Next, the percentages almost disappear outside the 40, which pretty much is as expected, but the 71-80 range has a success rate of nearly 5%, which means at least 20 tries - seems way high, unless they're again counting the last play as a Hail Mary and there have been a significant number of those. So, as with most things sports, and most things statistical, we need a lot more information [/QUOTE]
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The Rodgers to Rodgers Hail Mary in historical perspective.
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