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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 626435"><p>If you had to settle on one single stat, which is certainly not necessary, QB Rating is as good as anything else.</p><p></p><p>ESPN's QBR ventures into the realm of advanced analytics, with black box formulations that attempt to address the question you posed in your original post in this thread, as described in the following link which, quite frankly, I did not read in it's entirety:</p><p></p><p><a href="http://espn.go.com/nfl/story/_/id/6833215/explaining-statistics-total-quarterback-rating" target="_blank">http://espn.go.com/nfl/story/_/id/6833215/explaining-statistics-total-quarterback-rating</a></p><p></p><p>As you can see, it is an involved endeavor that attempts to account for the point value of a particular play and the QB's contribution to that play. I'm skeptical of such stats, given (1) the high level of subjectivity, (2) historical analysis of the point value associated with a play when the game is constantly evolving and (3) they're not showing me their black box spreadsheet. I might have other concerns if I studied and ruminated on the thing in its entirety.</p><p></p><p>Interestingly, in the final analysis, QBR ends up being fairly closely correlated to QB Rating. Does it really matter whether Rodgers is 3rd. in QBR by a narrow margin...</p><p></p><p><a href="http://espn.go.com/nfl/qbr" target="_blank">http://espn.go.com/nfl/qbr</a></p><p></p><p>...or 1st. in QB Rating by a wider margin?</p><p></p><p><a href="http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/player/_/stat/passing/sort/quarterbackRating" target="_blank">http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/player/_/stat/passing/sort/quarterbackRating</a></p><p></p><p>I observed during camp that clips of Rodgers showed quicker footwork and release, if that was even possible. I think we're seeing that now. His command of the field is at a pinnacle (or at least his pinnacle so far). When factoring in the intangibles, to my eye the QB Rating better reflects what he's done on the field in these first 3 games...about as good as you're ever going to see.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 626435"] If you had to settle on one single stat, which is certainly not necessary, QB Rating is as good as anything else. ESPN's QBR ventures into the realm of advanced analytics, with black box formulations that attempt to address the question you posed in your original post in this thread, as described in the following link which, quite frankly, I did not read in it's entirety: [URL]http://espn.go.com/nfl/story/_/id/6833215/explaining-statistics-total-quarterback-rating[/URL] As you can see, it is an involved endeavor that attempts to account for the point value of a particular play and the QB's contribution to that play. I'm skeptical of such stats, given (1) the high level of subjectivity, (2) historical analysis of the point value associated with a play when the game is constantly evolving and (3) they're not showing me their black box spreadsheet. I might have other concerns if I studied and ruminated on the thing in its entirety. Interestingly, in the final analysis, QBR ends up being fairly closely correlated to QB Rating. Does it really matter whether Rodgers is 3rd. in QBR by a narrow margin... [URL]http://espn.go.com/nfl/qbr[/URL] ...or 1st. in QB Rating by a wider margin? [URL]http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/player/_/stat/passing/sort/quarterbackRating[/URL] I observed during camp that clips of Rodgers showed quicker footwork and release, if that was even possible. I think we're seeing that now. His command of the field is at a pinnacle (or at least his pinnacle so far). When factoring in the intangibles, to my eye the QB Rating better reflects what he's done on the field in these first 3 games...about as good as you're ever going to see. [/QUOTE]
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