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Message: <blockquote data-quote="Pokerbrat2000" data-source="post: 984898" data-attributes="member: 7261">It can strongly indicate some other things as well.  The Packers were playing from behind and felt 7 was far more important than 3.  It can mean that it was 4th and very short and MLF was confident they could pick it up.  It can mean Rodgers caught the defense off guard and trying to substitute. It can mean many things. Basically, don't always jump to the one conclusion that supports your theory, without at least addressing the others.Maybe put each 4th down situation into the context that it was and THEN make your conclusions?For example.  Take 2 teams that went for it on 4th down 20 times during the season.  One was successful 18 times, the other 10.  Do you conclude that the first team is far better on 4th down than the second team?  Or do you dig deeper and notice that that first team averaged 4th and 1.5 yards on their 20 tries and the second team was 4th and 7.6 yards on all their tries?</blockquote>

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