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Studs and Duds Thursday Night vs the 49ers.
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<blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 888082" data-attributes="member: 12283"><p>I don't know an exact answer, but I would guess that a lot of it has to do with strength of opponent.</p><p></p><p>By offensive DVOA, the Saints opponents rank:</p><ol> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Bucs: 6th</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Raiders: 13th</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Packers: 2nd</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Lions: 18th</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Chargers: 11th</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Panthers: 12th</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Bears: 27th</li> </ol><p>So five of their seven opponents in the top 13. By comparison, the Packers have only faced three such offenses (the Bucs at 6th, the Saints at 7th, and the 49ers at 9th-- and the 49ers should not count).</p><p></p><p>Also, the Saints' rush defense is extremely strong, which is going to buoy their overall defensive ranking.</p><p></p><p>They're also 7th in yards allowed per game, which may suggest to FO that their poor scoring defense is partially attributable to bad luck. They've given up 10 touchdown drives that went for fewer than 60 yards.</p><p></p><p>That's my best stab at it. But certainly I don't think DVOA is a perfect stat.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dantés, post: 888082, member: 12283"] I don't know an exact answer, but I would guess that a lot of it has to do with strength of opponent. By offensive DVOA, the Saints opponents rank: [LIST=1] [*]Bucs: 6th [*]Raiders: 13th [*]Packers: 2nd [*]Lions: 18th [*]Chargers: 11th [*]Panthers: 12th [*]Bears: 27th [/LIST] So five of their seven opponents in the top 13. By comparison, the Packers have only faced three such offenses (the Bucs at 6th, the Saints at 7th, and the 49ers at 9th-- and the 49ers should not count). Also, the Saints' rush defense is extremely strong, which is going to buoy their overall defensive ranking. They're also 7th in yards allowed per game, which may suggest to FO that their poor scoring defense is partially attributable to bad luck. They've given up 10 touchdown drives that went for fewer than 60 yards. That's my best stab at it. But certainly I don't think DVOA is a perfect stat. [/QUOTE]
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