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So you guys/gals aren't happy?
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<blockquote data-quote="OldSchool101" data-source="post: 844339" data-attributes="member: 10086"><p>That’s not true from this standpoint... when you examine all SB WINNING teams (after all, that’s the end goal isn’t it?) The average D is ranked Lower (about 7th) than the the average Offense (about 8th)</p><p>That does not convince me that a better Offense wins over a better Defense.</p><p>Now, granted this a 5 decade average mean, there are fluctuations year to year. But winning is goal #1 and 50 seasons is a nice sample size. We look to the most successful to see what was the ingredient.</p><p>Defense trumps Offense, but it’s very, very close.</p><p>Well rounded teams Win Championships.</p><p></p><p>This year, we likely have a top 6 Defense but that’s just a hypothesis (we will know better by week 8) It’s my opinion we need a top 11ish Offensive scoring unit to give us a realistic shot. The better the ratings, the better the chances.</p><p></p><p>Your added D+O rankings should be around 15ish. Anything lower increases the odds of winning exponentially and vice versa. The exception is #1 on either, because a team could be #1 because they are 5Pts/GM better than the next team (such as an absolute monster D giving up just 10 pts a game) etc.. that opens the parameters on the opposite end a bit. They could have an adequate chance of winning with a #18 ranked O etc..</p><p></p><p>In 2014, I guessed the GBP would need a defense ranked top 1/3 to win it all (top 11) We lowered our D ranking from mid season from like 20th to 13th (moves CM3 inside and brought out Perry) That’s huge. We lost in OT in the NFC game as close as it gets to a team that went toe to toe in the SB. Coincidence? Not a chance </p><p>We took a hit on 17 in blackjack once too many times.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="OldSchool101, post: 844339, member: 10086"] That’s not true from this standpoint... when you examine all SB WINNING teams (after all, that’s the end goal isn’t it?) The average D is ranked Lower (about 7th) than the the average Offense (about 8th) That does not convince me that a better Offense wins over a better Defense. Now, granted this a 5 decade average mean, there are fluctuations year to year. But winning is goal #1 and 50 seasons is a nice sample size. We look to the most successful to see what was the ingredient. Defense trumps Offense, but it’s very, very close. Well rounded teams Win Championships. This year, we likely have a top 6 Defense but that’s just a hypothesis (we will know better by week 8) It’s my opinion we need a top 11ish Offensive scoring unit to give us a realistic shot. The better the ratings, the better the chances. Your added D+O rankings should be around 15ish. Anything lower increases the odds of winning exponentially and vice versa. The exception is #1 on either, because a team could be #1 because they are 5Pts/GM better than the next team (such as an absolute monster D giving up just 10 pts a game) etc.. that opens the parameters on the opposite end a bit. They could have an adequate chance of winning with a #18 ranked O etc.. In 2014, I guessed the GBP would need a defense ranked top 1/3 to win it all (top 11) We lowered our D ranking from mid season from like 20th to 13th (moves CM3 inside and brought out Perry) That’s huge. We lost in OT in the NFC game as close as it gets to a team that went toe to toe in the SB. Coincidence? Not a chance We took a hit on 17 in blackjack once too many times. [/QUOTE]
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