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Projecting the Offense
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<blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 963625" data-attributes="member: 12283"><p>I've been thinking about the projected 53 man roster and the strengths/weaknesses of the Packers offense and I've tried to put together a semi-realistic projection of what I think they could accomplish. </p><p></p><p>This is a pretty optimistic outlook, but I am a fan and this team is good, so I make no apologies for that. </p><p></p><p>Basically the idea here is to try to get a feel for what the Packers offense could be if it took another step towards the running game. What if they run more and more effectively, and Rodgers is more limited in his attempts, but still efficient? </p><p></p><p><strong>Passing:</strong></p><p><strong></strong></p><p><strong>-A. Rodgers: </strong>344/500, 3962 yards, 69% completion, 7.9 YPA, 32 TD, 5 INT</p><p><strong>-J. Love: </strong>28/45, 324 yards, 62% completion, 7.2 YPA, 2 TD, INT</p><p></p><p><strong><u>-Team:</u> </strong>372/545, 4286 yards, 68% completion, 7.9 YPA, 34 TD, 6 INT</p><p></p><p><strong>Rushing: </strong></p><p><strong></strong></p><p><strong>-A. Dillon: </strong>215 carries, 968 yards, 4.5 YPC, 9 TD</p><p>-<strong>A. Jones: </strong>200 carries, 980 yards, 4.9 YPC, 6 TD</p><p><strong>-A. Rodgers: </strong>20 carries, 70 yards, 3.5 YPC, 2 TD</p><p><strong>-J. Love: </strong>5 carries, 25 yards</p><p><strong>-Misc (Depth RB's): </strong>65 carries, 286 yards, 4.4 YPC, TD</p><p></p><p><strong><u>-Team:</u> </strong>505 carries, 2329 yards, 4.6 YPC, 18 TD</p><p></p><p><strong>Receiving: </strong></p><p><strong></strong></p><p><strong>-A. Lazard: </strong>70 receptions, 875 yards, 12.5 YPR, 8 TD</p><p>-<strong>A. Jones: </strong>64 receptions, 512 yards, 8.0 YPR, 4 TD</p><p><strong>-S. Watkins: </strong>40 receptions, 520 yards, 13.0 YPR, 4 TD</p><p><strong>-C. Watson: </strong>38 receptions, 684 yards, 18.0 YPR, 5 TD</p><p><strong>-R. Cobb: </strong>36 receptions, 396 yards, 11.0 YPR, 3 TD</p><p>-<strong>A. Dillon: </strong>35 receptions, 280 yards, 8.0 YPR, 2 TD</p><p>-<strong>R. Tonyan: </strong>30 receptions, 360 yards, 12.0 YPR, 3 TD</p><p><strong>-R. Doubs: </strong>20 receptions, 300 yards, 15.0 YPR, 2 TD</p><p>-<strong>J. Deguara: </strong>15 receptions, 150 yards, 10.0 YPR, TD</p><p>-<strong>T. Davis: </strong>9 receptions, 90 yards, 9.0 YPR, TD</p><p><strong>-M. Lewis: </strong>8 receptions, 64 yards, 8.0 YPR, TD</p><p>-<strong>Misc (Depth RB's): </strong>7 receptions, 55 yards, 8.0 YPR</p><p></p><p><strong><u>-Team:</u> </strong>372 receptions, 4286 yards, 34 TD</p><p></p><p><strong>Notes:</strong></p><p></p><p>-This would mean 1,050 combined attempts, rushing and passing, which is only 11 more than 2021 (a conservative estimate, since GB was 32nd in pace of place last year).</p><p>-The run/pass balance would be 48/52, which would exceed the high water mark of LaFleur's tenure set in 2020 (46/54). </p><p>-This scenario would see the Packers score 52 touchdowns after scoring exactly that many on offense in 2021 (just shifted towards rushing TD's). </p><p>-If this scenario unfolded, but Crosby regressed positively in FG % and DEF/ST scored a little bit more, they could end up with a higher scoring output.</p><p>-Many of the reception suggestions assume missed time (e.g. I project Watkins to average 4 receptions per game for 10 games, Cobb likewise 4 receptions/game for 9 games). </p><p>-I don't think this scenario is unrealistic at any point and it illustrates how GB could field a dangerous offense in 2022 despite losing Adams.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dantés, post: 963625, member: 12283"] I've been thinking about the projected 53 man roster and the strengths/weaknesses of the Packers offense and I've tried to put together a semi-realistic projection of what I think they could accomplish. This is a pretty optimistic outlook, but I am a fan and this team is good, so I make no apologies for that. Basically the idea here is to try to get a feel for what the Packers offense could be if it took another step towards the running game. What if they run more and more effectively, and Rodgers is more limited in his attempts, but still efficient? [B]Passing: -A. Rodgers: [/B]344/500, 3962 yards, 69% completion, 7.9 YPA, 32 TD, 5 INT [B]-J. Love: [/B]28/45, 324 yards, 62% completion, 7.2 YPA, 2 TD, INT [B][U]-Team:[/U] [/B]372/545, 4286 yards, 68% completion, 7.9 YPA, 34 TD, 6 INT [B]Rushing: -A. Dillon: [/B]215 carries, 968 yards, 4.5 YPC, 9 TD -[B]A. Jones: [/B]200 carries, 980 yards, 4.9 YPC, 6 TD [B]-A. Rodgers: [/B]20 carries, 70 yards, 3.5 YPC, 2 TD [B]-J. Love: [/B]5 carries, 25 yards [B]-Misc (Depth RB's): [/B]65 carries, 286 yards, 4.4 YPC, TD [B][U]-Team:[/U] [/B]505 carries, 2329 yards, 4.6 YPC, 18 TD [B]Receiving: -A. Lazard: [/B]70 receptions, 875 yards, 12.5 YPR, 8 TD -[B]A. Jones: [/B]64 receptions, 512 yards, 8.0 YPR, 4 TD [B]-S. Watkins: [/B]40 receptions, 520 yards, 13.0 YPR, 4 TD [B]-C. Watson: [/B]38 receptions, 684 yards, 18.0 YPR, 5 TD [B]-R. Cobb: [/B]36 receptions, 396 yards, 11.0 YPR, 3 TD -[B]A. Dillon: [/B]35 receptions, 280 yards, 8.0 YPR, 2 TD -[B]R. Tonyan: [/B]30 receptions, 360 yards, 12.0 YPR, 3 TD [B]-R. Doubs: [/B]20 receptions, 300 yards, 15.0 YPR, 2 TD -[B]J. Deguara: [/B]15 receptions, 150 yards, 10.0 YPR, TD -[B]T. Davis: [/B]9 receptions, 90 yards, 9.0 YPR, TD [B]-M. Lewis: [/B]8 receptions, 64 yards, 8.0 YPR, TD -[B]Misc (Depth RB's): [/B]7 receptions, 55 yards, 8.0 YPR [B][U]-Team:[/U] [/B]372 receptions, 4286 yards, 34 TD [B]Notes:[/B] -This would mean 1,050 combined attempts, rushing and passing, which is only 11 more than 2021 (a conservative estimate, since GB was 32nd in pace of place last year). -The run/pass balance would be 48/52, which would exceed the high water mark of LaFleur's tenure set in 2020 (46/54). -This scenario would see the Packers score 52 touchdowns after scoring exactly that many on offense in 2021 (just shifted towards rushing TD's). -If this scenario unfolded, but Crosby regressed positively in FG % and DEF/ST scored a little bit more, they could end up with a higher scoring output. -Many of the reception suggestions assume missed time (e.g. I project Watkins to average 4 receptions per game for 10 games, Cobb likewise 4 receptions/game for 9 games). -I don't think this scenario is unrealistic at any point and it illustrates how GB could field a dangerous offense in 2022 despite losing Adams. [/QUOTE]
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