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Projecting Regression in the NFC North
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 880721"><p>10 wins seems like a decent baseline expectation.</p><p></p><p>This year more than any other is a coaches and veterans game. Ordinarily, the first 3 or 4 games across the league tend to be pretty sloppy as teams sort things out, establish their "character" as the story goes, or not. With so little work and no preseason that could extend further into the season than ordinarily.</p><p></p><p>It would stand to reason that new coaching staffs and systems, first time starting QBs, or young teams in general relying on youth for impact are at a disadvantage early on more so than is typical. Even those teams that let some impact players leave in free agency and brought in others could take a little more time to gel.</p><p></p><p>In this regard, the Packers are in a better position than most. Second year for the HC and offensive system, third year for the defense. The only rookie that might be starting is Martin but I wouldn't call that a lock. Even if he does, 3-down play would be a big stretch. QB is obviously not an issue. Maybe Deguara if by "start" we mean the first play of the first game is a 2-back set but that really doesn't count. Other than Bulaga, nobody has been lost that one would be concerned about.</p><p></p><p>Without scrutinizing these factors for the opponents in the first half of the season, it could add up to more wins early than might be expected otherwise.</p><p></p><p>While the little possums walk early and the big ones walk late, early wins count just as much as late ones in deciding who gets to the playoffs and what the seeds look like.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 880721"] 10 wins seems like a decent baseline expectation. This year more than any other is a coaches and veterans game. Ordinarily, the first 3 or 4 games across the league tend to be pretty sloppy as teams sort things out, establish their "character" as the story goes, or not. With so little work and no preseason that could extend further into the season than ordinarily. It would stand to reason that new coaching staffs and systems, first time starting QBs, or young teams in general relying on youth for impact are at a disadvantage early on more so than is typical. Even those teams that let some impact players leave in free agency and brought in others could take a little more time to gel. In this regard, the Packers are in a better position than most. Second year for the HC and offensive system, third year for the defense. The only rookie that might be starting is Martin but I wouldn't call that a lock. Even if he does, 3-down play would be a big stretch. QB is obviously not an issue. Maybe Deguara if by "start" we mean the first play of the first game is a 2-back set but that really doesn't count. Other than Bulaga, nobody has been lost that one would be concerned about. Without scrutinizing these factors for the opponents in the first half of the season, it could add up to more wins early than might be expected otherwise. While the little possums walk early and the big ones walk late, early wins count just as much as late ones in deciding who gets to the playoffs and what the seeds look like. [/QUOTE]
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Projecting Regression in the NFC North
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