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Message: <blockquote data-quote="2411t" data-source="post: 382182" data-attributes="member: 3034">Predictions should throw variables out the window and go strictly by how good a team is on paper and assume that they will play up to their standards. If you can't accept this, then you are indirectly giving the "science" of football analysis zero credibility.But I agree with much that you say. A team can easily be 4-12 and 12-4 at the same time. But some people spend a great deal of effort analyzing how well a team will due based on some kind of statistical method.Maybe if the originally quoted prediction of 4-12 gave a detailed description/explanation as to why they thought the Bears would go 4-12, I would think differently.EDIT:  I guess what I'm essentially saying is:  We all agree that Murphy's Law exists, but it shouldn't be accounted for in making well thought out predictions.</blockquote>

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