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<blockquote data-quote="PackAttack12" data-source="post: 803747" data-attributes="member: 11933"><p>Posted this in the Kizer thread, but looks like the OP deleted the title:</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>The Packers have an 82% chance of making the playoffs by winning out. Those odds actually increase to 83% if the Vikings win out and increase to 85% if the Bears win out.</p><p></p><p>If the Vikings AND the Bears win out all the way until their week 17 matchup, regardless of the outcome of that game, the Packers have a 71% chance of making the playoffs.</p><p></p><p>The thought of starting Kizer shouldn't even enter the minds of anyone associated with the Packers until (if) they lose another game.</p><p></p><p>Very little at this point is certain. What we do know though is that the Saints and Rams will win their respective divisions. And we also know that we don't need to concern ourselves with teams that have 7 losses or more, given that winning out gives us just 6 losses.</p><p></p><p>So teams that have no barring on the Packers:</p><p></p><p>Saints</p><p>Rams</p><p></p><p>Giants</p><p>Lions</p><p>Falcons</p><p>Bucs</p><p>Cardinals</p><p>49ers</p><p></p><p>That leaves the following teams:</p><p></p><p>Cowboys (6-5), Redskins (6-5), Eagles (5-6) (one of these teams have to win the division)</p><p>Panthers (6-5)</p><p>Seahawks (6-5)</p><p>Bears (8-3), Vikings (6-4-1) (lets assume one of these teams win the division)</p><p></p><p>So assuming we're looking at a wild card berth, we are essentially competing with 5 teams for 2 spots since out of that above list, two of those teams have to win the division.</p><p></p><p>The Cowboys to me are the favorite for the division right now</p><p>The Redskins could self destruct without Alex Smith.</p><p>The Eagles have been a mess all year and have a brutal schedule</p><p>The Panthers have lost three in a row and still play the Saints twice</p><p>The Seahawks have to play the Chiefs, albeit at home, otherwise fairly easy schedule</p><p>- (they do however play the Vikings, which is a guaranteed loss for one of those teams, assuming no tie)</p><p>The Bears are the favorite for the division right now</p><p>The Vikings are at the Patriots and at the Seahawks (guaranteed loss for one team), along with two division games to finish out. A 2-3 finish is more than just a small possibility given that schedule, which would put the Packers ahead of them.</p><p></p><p>This puppy is far from over and it's also far more likely than not that the Packers make the playoffs if they win out.</p><p></p><p>All isn't lost just yet. Catching fire at the right time could be dangerous.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="PackAttack12, post: 803747, member: 11933"] Posted this in the Kizer thread, but looks like the OP deleted the title: The Packers have an 82% chance of making the playoffs by winning out. Those odds actually increase to 83% if the Vikings win out and increase to 85% if the Bears win out. If the Vikings AND the Bears win out all the way until their week 17 matchup, regardless of the outcome of that game, the Packers have a 71% chance of making the playoffs. The thought of starting Kizer shouldn't even enter the minds of anyone associated with the Packers until (if) they lose another game. Very little at this point is certain. What we do know though is that the Saints and Rams will win their respective divisions. And we also know that we don't need to concern ourselves with teams that have 7 losses or more, given that winning out gives us just 6 losses. So teams that have no barring on the Packers: Saints Rams Giants Lions Falcons Bucs Cardinals 49ers That leaves the following teams: Cowboys (6-5), Redskins (6-5), Eagles (5-6) (one of these teams have to win the division) Panthers (6-5) Seahawks (6-5) Bears (8-3), Vikings (6-4-1) (lets assume one of these teams win the division) So assuming we're looking at a wild card berth, we are essentially competing with 5 teams for 2 spots since out of that above list, two of those teams have to win the division. The Cowboys to me are the favorite for the division right now The Redskins could self destruct without Alex Smith. The Eagles have been a mess all year and have a brutal schedule The Panthers have lost three in a row and still play the Saints twice The Seahawks have to play the Chiefs, albeit at home, otherwise fairly easy schedule - (they do however play the Vikings, which is a guaranteed loss for one of those teams, assuming no tie) The Bears are the favorite for the division right now The Vikings are at the Patriots and at the Seahawks (guaranteed loss for one team), along with two division games to finish out. A 2-3 finish is more than just a small possibility given that schedule, which would put the Packers ahead of them. This puppy is far from over and it's also far more likely than not that the Packers make the playoffs if they win out. All isn't lost just yet. Catching fire at the right time could be dangerous. [/QUOTE]
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