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Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
Perspective, Concerns, our Line, & Choking
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<blockquote data-quote="Ogsponge" data-source="post: 668774" data-attributes="member: 9358"><p>I for one would have considered McCarthy the greatest head coach in the history of the NFL had he gone for two, regardless of the outcome. Too many coaches are afraid to risk losing in order to win. After years of dismal defensive failures in the biggest spotlight, Mike certainly could not have been relying on the defense to win the game, if he was, then he is actually a horrible coach as that defense has not proven it can win the big game. So in the end, kicking the extra point is in fact relying on winning the coin toss for overtime to be the first ones with the ball and score a touchdown.</p><p></p><p>So not only was he relying on 50/50 coin flip, he was also relying on getting the ball first and then having the anemic offense drive the length of field to score a touchdown. The packers had 9 drives in that game, two of them ending in touchdowns giving them a percentage of 22% of drives ending in a touchdown.</p><p></p><p>So, to recap, a 50/50 change on winning a coin flip and a 22% chance of scoring a touchdown after winning a coin flip vs. a 66.7% chance (the packers 2 point conversion rate in 2015) of converting a two point try.</p><p></p><p>Now I am not a big math guy but it seems to me that the Packers had a much higher mathematical chance of winning on a two point conversion then they did in winning in overtime.</p><p></p><p>With all of that said, as captain mentioned above, i completely understand why MM kicked the extra point, it is the safe thing to do. Going for two and failing would certainly put your job on the hot seat. However, i personally would have considered a great thing to do and would not have faulted him in the slightest if he had in this particular situation.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Ogsponge, post: 668774, member: 9358"] I for one would have considered McCarthy the greatest head coach in the history of the NFL had he gone for two, regardless of the outcome. Too many coaches are afraid to risk losing in order to win. After years of dismal defensive failures in the biggest spotlight, Mike certainly could not have been relying on the defense to win the game, if he was, then he is actually a horrible coach as that defense has not proven it can win the big game. So in the end, kicking the extra point is in fact relying on winning the coin toss for overtime to be the first ones with the ball and score a touchdown. So not only was he relying on 50/50 coin flip, he was also relying on getting the ball first and then having the anemic offense drive the length of field to score a touchdown. The packers had 9 drives in that game, two of them ending in touchdowns giving them a percentage of 22% of drives ending in a touchdown. So, to recap, a 50/50 change on winning a coin flip and a 22% chance of scoring a touchdown after winning a coin flip vs. a 66.7% chance (the packers 2 point conversion rate in 2015) of converting a two point try. Now I am not a big math guy but it seems to me that the Packers had a much higher mathematical chance of winning on a two point conversion then they did in winning in overtime. With all of that said, as captain mentioned above, i completely understand why MM kicked the extra point, it is the safe thing to do. Going for two and failing would certainly put your job on the hot seat. However, i personally would have considered a great thing to do and would not have faulted him in the slightest if he had in this particular situation. [/QUOTE]
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