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Packers vs Eagles Pre Game Thread
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<blockquote data-quote="Magooch" data-source="post: 1078146" data-attributes="member: 17987"><p>Philly are a good team for sure, and with the exception of the Lions will be the best team we have faced this year. They are appreciably better overall/big-picture than the Cowboys, the Cardinals, the Panthers, the Bengals, the Commanders, the Steelers, and the Browns. </p><p></p><p>But, that said, we DID beat the Lions, who are presently better than them. (I guess the question is whether or not the "Week 1 Lions" that we beat are better than the current Eagles, though)</p><p></p><p>As you have probably gathered from my postings I am a big fan of EPA as a broad measure of a team's offensive/defensive performance. And if you look at a team's composite offensive+defensive EPA you can get a decent picture of their overall "level". </p><p></p><p>By this measure right now the Rams are pretty handily the best team in the league, they're the only one in their "tier" at the moment. But we are below them in that second tier with teams like the Colts, Chiefs, Lions, Bills. </p><p>Then the third tier is a little more broad. There you've got the Seahawks, Patriots, Texans, Broncos, Chargers, Buccaneers, and that's where the Eagles find themselves too. </p><p>Interestingly though...the Seahawks and Patriots are juuuust on the edge of the "second tier," they're the top teams in that "third tier" and conversely the Eagles are the "worst" team in that tier of teams as well. Interestingly, they are currently right next to the Bears, who themselves are right on the cusp between the 4th/3rd tier, with them being just a smidge on the "4th" side while the Eagles fall just over the line for the 3rd tier. </p><p></p><p>Jordan Love EPA/PLAY: <strong>1st</strong></p><p>Jordan Love Completion Percentage Over Expectation (CPOE): <strong>4th</strong></p><p>Jordan Love EPA+CPOE Composite: <strong>2nd</strong></p><p>Jordan Love Pass Success Rate: <strong>5th</strong></p><p>Jordan Love Air Yards/Average Depth of Target (ADOT): 18th</p><p>Packers OFF EPA/PLAY: <strong>2nd</strong></p><p>Packers OFF Success Rate: <strong>3rd</strong></p><p>Packers DEF EPA/PLAY: <strong>13th</strong></p><p>Packers DEF Success Rate: <strong>13th</strong></p><p>Packers Total DVOA: <strong>6th</strong></p><p></p><p>Jalen Hurts EPA/PLAY: 11th</p><p>Jalen Hurts CPOE: 5th</p><p>Jordan Love EPA+CPOE Composite: 9th</p><p>Jalen Hurts Pass Success Rate: 17th</p><p>Jalen Hurts Air Yards/ADOT: <strong>6th</strong></p><p>Eagles OFF EPA/PLAY: 9th</p><p>Eagles OFF Success Rate: 17th</p><p>Eagles DEF EPA/PLAY: 14th</p><p>Eagles DEF Success Rate: 17th</p><p>Eagles Total DVOA: 9th</p><p></p><p>I expect a tough matchup, but - stop me if you've heard this one before - if we play up to our potential we should come away with a win. </p><p>Big key IMO will be limiting big plays. They can be boom or bust.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Magooch, post: 1078146, member: 17987"] Philly are a good team for sure, and with the exception of the Lions will be the best team we have faced this year. They are appreciably better overall/big-picture than the Cowboys, the Cardinals, the Panthers, the Bengals, the Commanders, the Steelers, and the Browns. But, that said, we DID beat the Lions, who are presently better than them. (I guess the question is whether or not the "Week 1 Lions" that we beat are better than the current Eagles, though) As you have probably gathered from my postings I am a big fan of EPA as a broad measure of a team's offensive/defensive performance. And if you look at a team's composite offensive+defensive EPA you can get a decent picture of their overall "level". By this measure right now the Rams are pretty handily the best team in the league, they're the only one in their "tier" at the moment. But we are below them in that second tier with teams like the Colts, Chiefs, Lions, Bills. Then the third tier is a little more broad. There you've got the Seahawks, Patriots, Texans, Broncos, Chargers, Buccaneers, and that's where the Eagles find themselves too. Interestingly though...the Seahawks and Patriots are juuuust on the edge of the "second tier," they're the top teams in that "third tier" and conversely the Eagles are the "worst" team in that tier of teams as well. Interestingly, they are currently right next to the Bears, who themselves are right on the cusp between the 4th/3rd tier, with them being just a smidge on the "4th" side while the Eagles fall just over the line for the 3rd tier. Jordan Love EPA/PLAY: [B]1st[/B] Jordan Love Completion Percentage Over Expectation (CPOE): [B]4th[/B] Jordan Love EPA+CPOE Composite: [B]2nd[/B] Jordan Love Pass Success Rate: [B]5th[/B] Jordan Love Air Yards/Average Depth of Target (ADOT): 18th Packers OFF EPA/PLAY: [B]2nd[/B] Packers OFF Success Rate: [B]3rd[/B] Packers DEF EPA/PLAY: [B]13th[/B] Packers DEF Success Rate: [B]13th[/B] Packers Total DVOA: [B]6th[/B] Jalen Hurts EPA/PLAY: 11th Jalen Hurts CPOE: 5th Jordan Love EPA+CPOE Composite: 9th Jalen Hurts Pass Success Rate: 17th Jalen Hurts Air Yards/ADOT: [B]6th[/B] Eagles OFF EPA/PLAY: 9th Eagles OFF Success Rate: 17th Eagles DEF EPA/PLAY: 14th Eagles DEF Success Rate: 17th Eagles Total DVOA: 9th I expect a tough matchup, but - stop me if you've heard this one before - if we play up to our potential we should come away with a win. Big key IMO will be limiting big plays. They can be boom or bust. [/QUOTE]
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