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Packers vs Bears: S103,E1
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<blockquote data-quote="OldSchool101" data-source="post: 1081853" data-attributes="member: 10086"><p>I was just thinking that exact same thing recently. Wilson is actually a pretty dynamic blend of quickness and power. He’s not flashy level or a home run hitter, but his carry load probably has his legs fresh for one. We need Jacobs healthy down the stretch and if I recall he hit his knee pretty hard and limped off the field. Ok use him, but maybe 1/2 his snaps in this one and get EW going.</p><p></p><p>This is true. Chicago has this weird X factor.</p><p></p><p>First they obviously focus on takeaways. We even watched them rip the ball away from Hurts on the Tush Push which gave the league some ideas to mitigate that play. Yet the point being they don’t get “lucky” they are very intentional. Eerily similar to the 2010 Packers, where when I followed them they were net +20 going into postseason area. Yet our D hovered top 3 AND opportunistic. Chicago relies on opportunistic to stay “average”</p><p></p><p>Counter: Play them Clean</p><p></p><p>This is extremely cold weather making the ball easier to dislodge. Also if GB either has 0 Turnovers or stays even or even +?? Imo there’s a 75% chance we win this contest. Chicago almost exclusively uses takeaway margin to keep it at 24 points per allowed. Their D is truly a 26 points per allowed unit. Which is why you see a -6.5 odds GB is 18.6 points per allowed </p><p></p><p>The other aspect is this. While Jordan Love is still hands down the better overall QB, Caleb is backyard football scrappy. Now he’s not a threat like Josh Allen or Lamar etc. Yet if left unattended he’ll silently punish you. He has 8 games with runs of 10+. He’s</p><p>61 for 306 yards 22-1st D and 3 TD’s. So even including his high Sack count he’s netting 5.6 per carry. That’s well above average for a QB those normally fall 2-4 yards area on average because they include QB TFL.</p><p></p><p>I’m becoming increasingly concerned he’s going to try to repeat that Eagles game and hurt us. He’s still raw and often he’ll run when he should throw when scrambling outside. It’s not smart long term but it’s effective. Put a spy on him would be my recommendation.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="OldSchool101, post: 1081853, member: 10086"] I was just thinking that exact same thing recently. Wilson is actually a pretty dynamic blend of quickness and power. He’s not flashy level or a home run hitter, but his carry load probably has his legs fresh for one. We need Jacobs healthy down the stretch and if I recall he hit his knee pretty hard and limped off the field. Ok use him, but maybe 1/2 his snaps in this one and get EW going. This is true. Chicago has this weird X factor. First they obviously focus on takeaways. We even watched them rip the ball away from Hurts on the Tush Push which gave the league some ideas to mitigate that play. Yet the point being they don’t get “lucky” they are very intentional. Eerily similar to the 2010 Packers, where when I followed them they were net +20 going into postseason area. Yet our D hovered top 3 AND opportunistic. Chicago relies on opportunistic to stay “average” Counter: Play them Clean This is extremely cold weather making the ball easier to dislodge. Also if GB either has 0 Turnovers or stays even or even +?? Imo there’s a 75% chance we win this contest. Chicago almost exclusively uses takeaway margin to keep it at 24 points per allowed. Their D is truly a 26 points per allowed unit. Which is why you see a -6.5 odds GB is 18.6 points per allowed The other aspect is this. While Jordan Love is still hands down the better overall QB, Caleb is backyard football scrappy. Now he’s not a threat like Josh Allen or Lamar etc. Yet if left unattended he’ll silently punish you. He has 8 games with runs of 10+. He’s 61 for 306 yards 22-1st D and 3 TD’s. So even including his high Sack count he’s netting 5.6 per carry. That’s well above average for a QB those normally fall 2-4 yards area on average because they include QB TFL. I’m becoming increasingly concerned he’s going to try to repeat that Eagles game and hurt us. He’s still raw and often he’ll run when he should throw when scrambling outside. It’s not smart long term but it’s effective. Put a spy on him would be my recommendation. [/QUOTE]
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