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Packers Trading Up?
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<blockquote data-quote="TJV" data-source="post: 440648" data-attributes="member: 4300"><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'Tahoma'">Thanks SEWICHEESE. Just the first sentence of that post was meant to be directed to HyponGrey. The rest was just meant to advance the discussion of the relative worth of 6th and 7th rounders. </span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'Tahoma'">I haven’t (and won’t) do an analysis of the league average in this regard but here’s another way to look at Thompson’s success late in drafts: Had the Packers just exercised their original picks in those rounds Thompson would have exercised 14 picks in 7 drafts. From that point of view his success rate would be over 40% if you think he hit on 6. But that ignores compensation picks and it could be argued that all the trading-down Thompson has done to acquire those picks came at the cost of not exercising the middle round picks he traded away. But Thompson has selected 68 players in those drafts, an average of nearly 10 per, so that’s a difficult case to make. Again, I think it has to do with tiers. If the Packers evaluate several players likely to be picked in the next 15 to 20 players equally, for example, why not trade down and acquire more picks? </span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'Tahoma'">I understand not counting Tollefson but I tend to because I think the drafter should get credit for finding NFL quality players, particularly at the end of the draft. </span></span></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="TJV, post: 440648, member: 4300"] [COLOR=#000000][FONT=Tahoma]Thanks SEWICHEESE. Just the first sentence of that post was meant to be directed to HyponGrey. The rest was just meant to advance the discussion of the relative worth of 6th and 7th rounders. [/FONT][/COLOR] [COLOR=#000000][FONT=Tahoma] [/FONT][/COLOR] [COLOR=#000000][FONT=Tahoma]I haven’t (and won’t) do an analysis of the league average in this regard but here’s another way to look at Thompson’s success late in drafts: Had the Packers just exercised their original picks in those rounds Thompson would have exercised 14 picks in 7 drafts. From that point of view his success rate would be over 40% if you think he hit on 6. But that ignores compensation picks and it could be argued that all the trading-down Thompson has done to acquire those picks came at the cost of not exercising the middle round picks he traded away. But Thompson has selected 68 players in those drafts, an average of nearly 10 per, so that’s a difficult case to make. Again, I think it has to do with tiers. If the Packers evaluate several players likely to be picked in the next 15 to 20 players equally, for example, why not trade down and acquire more picks? [/FONT][/COLOR] [COLOR=#000000][FONT=Tahoma] [/FONT][/COLOR] [COLOR=#000000][FONT=Tahoma]I understand not counting Tollefson but I tend to because I think the drafter should get credit for finding NFL quality players, particularly at the end of the draft. [/FONT][/COLOR] [/QUOTE]
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