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Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
Packers now in the wild card spot lol
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<blockquote data-quote="broguy" data-source="post: 695825" data-attributes="member: 11278"><p>I don't know what to tell you. Fivethirtyeight uses ELO rankings to determine the probability that teams will win games. Given their projections, they give the Packers a 99% chance of winning the tiebreak against TB given the unlikely scenario that they were tied for a two seed. Obviously there's a way to choose outcomes that would give TB the edge (because it's not 100%), but the particular string of outcomes necessary to give TB the tiebreaker are exceedingly unlikely. So while it wouldn't give the Packers the tiebreaker definitively, it's certainly predictable that this would be the final outcome. But this is a hypothetical situation that will never happen, so it's probably best to put this in the agree to disagree column.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="broguy, post: 695825, member: 11278"] I don't know what to tell you. Fivethirtyeight uses ELO rankings to determine the probability that teams will win games. Given their projections, they give the Packers a 99% chance of winning the tiebreak against TB given the unlikely scenario that they were tied for a two seed. Obviously there's a way to choose outcomes that would give TB the edge (because it's not 100%), but the particular string of outcomes necessary to give TB the tiebreaker are exceedingly unlikely. So while it wouldn't give the Packers the tiebreaker definitively, it's certainly predictable that this would be the final outcome. But this is a hypothetical situation that will never happen, so it's probably best to put this in the agree to disagree column. [/QUOTE]
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Packers now in the wild card spot lol
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