Forums
New posts
Search forums
What's new
New posts
New media
New media comments
New resources
Latest activity
Media
New media
New comments
Search media
Resources
Latest reviews
Search resources
Members
Current visitors
Log in
Register
What's new
Search
Search
Search titles only
By:
New posts
Search forums
Menu
Log in
Register
Install the app
Install
Forums
Open Football Discussion
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
One more trip down memory lane back to the NFCCG.....
JavaScript is disabled. For a better experience, please enable JavaScript in your browser before proceeding.
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an
alternative browser
.
Reply to thread
Message
<blockquote data-quote="Deleted member 6794" data-source="post: 920174"><p>It's not about the odds being higher of kicking the field goal compared to making a two point conversion though. </p><p></p><p>Actually you need to take a look at the chances of the following scenarios:</p><p></p><p>1. Kick the field goal, stop the Bucs with them most likely getting the ball around their 25, drive approximately 75 yards for a touchdown with limited time and no timeouts left</p><p></p><p>2. Go for it on fourth down, score and convert the two point conversion and stop the Bucs afterwards</p><p></p><p>Even if the Packers don't score on fourth down they would have received the ball in better field position if they had stopped the Bucs.</p><p></p><p>I understand the first scenario results in a win while the second one only forces overtime but I would have definitely preferred them to go for it.</p><p></p><p>FWIW, according to ESPN's Win Probablity model the Packers had a 10% chance of winning the game by going for it on fourth down compared to 9.5% by kicking the field goal.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Deleted member 6794, post: 920174"] It's not about the odds being higher of kicking the field goal compared to making a two point conversion though. Actually you need to take a look at the chances of the following scenarios: 1. Kick the field goal, stop the Bucs with them most likely getting the ball around their 25, drive approximately 75 yards for a touchdown with limited time and no timeouts left 2. Go for it on fourth down, score and convert the two point conversion and stop the Bucs afterwards Even if the Packers don't score on fourth down they would have received the ball in better field position if they had stopped the Bucs. I understand the first scenario results in a win while the second one only forces overtime but I would have definitely preferred them to go for it. FWIW, according to ESPN's Win Probablity model the Packers had a 10% chance of winning the game by going for it on fourth down compared to 9.5% by kicking the field goal. [/QUOTE]
Insert quotes…
Verification
Post reply
Staff online
Poppa San
* Team Owner *
Members online
Team Ronny
gonzozab
scheeler
mradtke66
GreenBaySlacker
shockerx
Poppa San
Schultz
Latest posts
2024 draft discussion thread
Latest: Team Ronny
A moment ago
Draft Talk
Posting draft picks
Latest: gonzozab
8 minutes ago
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
S
2024 Salary Cap as related to Free Agency
Latest: Schultz
9 minutes ago
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
162-0
Latest: weeds
40 minutes ago
Milwaukee Brewers Forum
2024 Draft-- Media Stuff
Latest: Todd Princl
Today at 6:22 PM
Draft Talk
Forums
Open Football Discussion
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
One more trip down memory lane back to the NFCCG.....
This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.
Accept
Learn more…
Top