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Message: <blockquote data-quote="Deleted member 6794" data-source="post: 920174">It's not about the odds being higher of kicking the field goal compared to making a two point conversion though. Actually you need to take a look at the chances of the following scenarios:1. Kick the field goal, stop the Bucs with them most likely getting the ball around their 25, drive approximately 75 yards for a touchdown with limited time and no timeouts left2. Go for it on fourth down, score and convert the two point conversion and stop the Bucs afterwardsEven if the Packers don't score on fourth down they would have received the ball in better field position if they had stopped the Bucs.I understand the first scenario results in a win while the second one only forces overtime but I would have definitely preferred them to go for it.FWIW, according to ESPN's Win Probablity model the Packers had a 10% chance of winning the game by going for it on fourth down compared to 9.5% by kicking the field goal.</blockquote>

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