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Not Going For 2
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<blockquote data-quote="mradtke66" data-source="post: 530830" data-attributes="member: 4199"><p>I generally agree when MM goes for two--you're trying to shrink the gap quicker.</p><p></p><p>Now, depending on who you rely on for stats, the 2 point conversion rate is somewhere between 45% and 55%. Depending on the offense, coaches should go for two more often, perhaps all the time. Simple math.</p><p></p><p>Exactly 50% on 2 points would end up being worth slightly more than kicking extra points. While rare, there are occasional botched snaps, blocked kicks, etc, bringing down the actual conversion rate to about 99.95%. 0.5 * 2 = 1. 0.9995 * 1 < 1. If you can get your success rate over 50%, you're going to get more points. More points lead to more wins.</p><p></p><p>I wouldn't be surprised if teams spent more time practicing 2 yard plays AND if they had a strong offense, they could convert 55% of 2's easily.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="mradtke66, post: 530830, member: 4199"] I generally agree when MM goes for two--you're trying to shrink the gap quicker. Now, depending on who you rely on for stats, the 2 point conversion rate is somewhere between 45% and 55%. Depending on the offense, coaches should go for two more often, perhaps all the time. Simple math. Exactly 50% on 2 points would end up being worth slightly more than kicking extra points. While rare, there are occasional botched snaps, blocked kicks, etc, bringing down the actual conversion rate to about 99.95%. 0.5 * 2 = 1. 0.9995 * 1 < 1. If you can get your success rate over 50%, you're going to get more points. More points lead to more wins. I wouldn't be surprised if teams spent more time practicing 2 yard plays AND if they had a strong offense, they could convert 55% of 2's easily. [/QUOTE]
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