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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 852718"><p>Accurate with 6 games to go? I kinda doubt it was all that that accurate.</p><p></p><p>Here's the interesting thing about this season in the NFC. You have a bunch of teams clustered at the top with 8 and 9 wins, nobody with 7, two with 6, and two with 5. The hourglass shape of the standings suggests an utter loss of parity. The funny thing is to my eye none of these top 5 teams look like world beaters while the 5-5 and 6-4 teams look to my eye as close to or on par with top guys, they are in the hunt, and they have some games coming up against those top guys as they fight for their lives. With 6 games to go I would expect some surprises with weekly updates of some signifcance to the percentage odds by the various machines.</p><p></p><p>I mean it's kinda silly on its face when one machine says the Packers have a 45% chance of a first round bye with a win at SF, 5% with a loss while there is still five more weeks to go after than. The Packers could win to get that 45% and then lose the next week and see that % dump.</p><p></p><p>These things always look reasonable in the present, not so much when looking backward 6 weeks after Week 17.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 852718"] Accurate with 6 games to go? I kinda doubt it was all that that accurate. Here's the interesting thing about this season in the NFC. You have a bunch of teams clustered at the top with 8 and 9 wins, nobody with 7, two with 6, and two with 5. The hourglass shape of the standings suggests an utter loss of parity. The funny thing is to my eye none of these top 5 teams look like world beaters while the 5-5 and 6-4 teams look to my eye as close to or on par with top guys, they are in the hunt, and they have some games coming up against those top guys as they fight for their lives. With 6 games to go I would expect some surprises with weekly updates of some signifcance to the percentage odds by the various machines. I mean it's kinda silly on its face when one machine says the Packers have a 45% chance of a first round bye with a win at SF, 5% with a loss while there is still five more weeks to go after than. The Packers could win to get that 45% and then lose the next week and see that % dump. These things always look reasonable in the present, not so much when looking backward 6 weeks after Week 17. [/QUOTE]
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