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NFC North Draft Review (2025)
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<blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 1063649" data-attributes="member: 12283"><p>First Round Tight Ends since 2010:</p><p></p><p><strong>-Jermaine Gresham, 2010, #21, Bengals: </strong>Decent for 3 seasons, but fell off, no second contract with CIN, and they were drafting another Rd 1 TE 3 years later.</p><p><strong>-Tyler Eifert, 2013, #21, Bengals: </strong>Valuable player by year 3, but health never allowed him to really excel thereafter. </p><p><strong>-Eric Ebron, 2014, #10, Lions: </strong>A useful player seasons 2-4, but no second contract with the Lions. </p><p><strong>-O.J. Howard, 2017, #19, Bucs: </strong>Never more than a role-player. </p><p><strong>-Evan Engram, 2017, #23, Giants: </strong>A lot of empty calorie yardage for the Giants with no second contract. </p><p><strong>-David Njoku, 2017, #29, Browns: </strong>Took him until year 6 to become a consistently useful player. </p><p><strong>-Hayden Hurst, 2018, #25, Ravens: </strong>Traded after two lackluster seasons. </p><p><strong>-T.J. Hockenson, 2019, #8, Lions: </strong>Had a couple decent seasons before getting traded for way less than his original pick value. </p><p><strong>-Noah Fant, 2019, #20, Vikings: </strong>Three decent receiving seasons and then traded. </p><p><strong>-Kyle Pitts, 2021, #4, Falcons: </strong>1K yard, 1 TD rookie season that he hasn't been able to follow up. </p><p><strong>-Dalton Kincaid, 2023, #25, Bills: </strong>Two mediocre seasons as complementary receiving weapon. </p><p><strong>-Brock Bowers, 2024, #13, Raiders: </strong>Stellar rookie season.</p><p></p><p>Out of 12 picks going back the last 15 drafts, you're talking about one guy who appears to have paid off his draft slot (Bowers). The rest of the list is full of mediocre production and most of them didn't see a second contract with the team that drafted them.</p><p></p><p>Clearly the league and the draft industry is bad at identifying TE talent in round one because the hit rate is atrocious (8.3%). </p><p></p><p>So if you want to find comfort in stories about attempted trade-ups, by all means do so. But draft history would say Loveland's odds of paying off that draft capital are terrible.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dantés, post: 1063649, member: 12283"] First Round Tight Ends since 2010: [B]-Jermaine Gresham, 2010, #21, Bengals: [/B]Decent for 3 seasons, but fell off, no second contract with CIN, and they were drafting another Rd 1 TE 3 years later. [B]-Tyler Eifert, 2013, #21, Bengals: [/B]Valuable player by year 3, but health never allowed him to really excel thereafter. [B]-Eric Ebron, 2014, #10, Lions: [/B]A useful player seasons 2-4, but no second contract with the Lions. [B]-O.J. Howard, 2017, #19, Bucs: [/B]Never more than a role-player. [B]-Evan Engram, 2017, #23, Giants: [/B]A lot of empty calorie yardage for the Giants with no second contract. [B]-David Njoku, 2017, #29, Browns: [/B]Took him until year 6 to become a consistently useful player. [B]-Hayden Hurst, 2018, #25, Ravens: [/B]Traded after two lackluster seasons. [B]-T.J. Hockenson, 2019, #8, Lions: [/B]Had a couple decent seasons before getting traded for way less than his original pick value. [B]-Noah Fant, 2019, #20, Vikings: [/B]Three decent receiving seasons and then traded. [B]-Kyle Pitts, 2021, #4, Falcons: [/B]1K yard, 1 TD rookie season that he hasn't been able to follow up. [B]-Dalton Kincaid, 2023, #25, Bills: [/B]Two mediocre seasons as complementary receiving weapon. [B]-Brock Bowers, 2024, #13, Raiders: [/B]Stellar rookie season. Out of 12 picks going back the last 15 drafts, you're talking about one guy who appears to have paid off his draft slot (Bowers). The rest of the list is full of mediocre production and most of them didn't see a second contract with the team that drafted them. Clearly the league and the draft industry is bad at identifying TE talent in round one because the hit rate is atrocious (8.3%). So if you want to find comfort in stories about attempted trade-ups, by all means do so. But draft history would say Loveland's odds of paying off that draft capital are terrible. [/QUOTE]
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