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Mike Daniels could propel the Packers defense
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<blockquote data-quote="GreenBlood" data-source="post: 449033" data-attributes="member: 1198"><p>One last thing I'm going to post regarding our defense. Remember when AmishMafia and I made the argument about other teams playing from behind and never trying to run down the clock against us and us sitting starters in the 4th quarter as having a major impact on the yards we gave up? I have searched but have not yet been able to find any stats on total yards allowed by quarter. However on <a href="http://www.teamrankings.com" target="_blank">www.teamrankings.com</a>, they do have stats for opponents scoring by quarter. Here's where we fell by quarter:</p><p> </p><p>1st quarter we were 16th in points allowed. (4.5 points)</p><p>2nd quarter we ranked 14th. (6.3 points)</p><p>3rd quarter we ranked 9th. (3.9 points)</p><p>4th quarter? We dropped to 31st. (8.6 points)</p><p> </p><p>What does that tell us? It tells us that something changed in the 4th quarter. What changed? Well, among other things, we sat Matthews, Raji, Woodson and Williams a lot in the 4th quarter last year. But we already knew that. But now you know the impact that sitting those guys had when trash time came around. And quite often, the entire 4th quarter was trash time for us. If you assume a rough correlation between points and yards, then you can also assume we likely weren't anywhere near the bottom of the NFL in terms of yards allowed <em>when you look at the first 3 quarters.</em> I'm going to continue to look for yards by quarter stats, but I bet it's pretty similar to points by quarter. </p><p> </p><p>Here is an excellent article by Brian Burke, who is one of the most respected statisticians in the sports world, on why our defense isn't as bad as some statistical categories seem to indicate. Take heart, our defense is only a few minor adjustments away from being very good again. He actually spells out what many of us have felt in our gut but not been able to put into words. Overall, he ranks our defense 21st best in the end. Fair warning: it's a very technical article. But the most important thing is that he has no built-in bias toward the Packers. So his calculations and opinions are far more objective than any of ours on this forum.</p><p> </p><p><a href="http://www.advancednflstats.com/2011/12/epx.html" target="_blank">http://www.advancednflstats.com/2011/12/epx.html</a></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="GreenBlood, post: 449033, member: 1198"] One last thing I'm going to post regarding our defense. Remember when AmishMafia and I made the argument about other teams playing from behind and never trying to run down the clock against us and us sitting starters in the 4th quarter as having a major impact on the yards we gave up? I have searched but have not yet been able to find any stats on total yards allowed by quarter. However on [url="http://www.teamrankings.com"]www.teamrankings.com[/url], they do have stats for opponents scoring by quarter. Here's where we fell by quarter: 1st quarter we were 16th in points allowed. (4.5 points) 2nd quarter we ranked 14th. (6.3 points) 3rd quarter we ranked 9th. (3.9 points) 4th quarter? We dropped to 31st. (8.6 points) What does that tell us? It tells us that something changed in the 4th quarter. What changed? Well, among other things, we sat Matthews, Raji, Woodson and Williams a lot in the 4th quarter last year. But we already knew that. But now you know the impact that sitting those guys had when trash time came around. And quite often, the entire 4th quarter was trash time for us. If you assume a rough correlation between points and yards, then you can also assume we likely weren't anywhere near the bottom of the NFL in terms of yards allowed [I]when you look at the first 3 quarters.[/I] I'm going to continue to look for yards by quarter stats, but I bet it's pretty similar to points by quarter. Here is an excellent article by Brian Burke, who is one of the most respected statisticians in the sports world, on why our defense isn't as bad as some statistical categories seem to indicate. Take heart, our defense is only a few minor adjustments away from being very good again. He actually spells out what many of us have felt in our gut but not been able to put into words. Overall, he ranks our defense 21st best in the end. Fair warning: it's a very technical article. But the most important thing is that he has no built-in bias toward the Packers. So his calculations and opinions are far more objective than any of ours on this forum. [url]http://www.advancednflstats.com/2011/12/epx.html[/url] [/QUOTE]
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