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<blockquote data-quote="PackersRS" data-source="post: 419295" data-attributes="member: 1429"><p>Here were both teams' standings as of week 16 (before yesterday's meaningless games):</p><p> </p><p>Saints' D:</p><p>26th in yards allowed</p><p>32nd in forced turnovers</p><p>15th in points allowed</p><p>23rd in opposite QB rating</p><p> </p><p>Packers' D:</p><p>31st in yards allowed</p><p>1st in forced turnovers</p><p>12nd in points allowed</p><p>8th in opposite QB rating</p><p> </p><p>So, they're very similar defenses. The Saints are a little better in allowing yards, while the Packers are a little beter in points allowed, in opposite QB rating, but A LOT, and I mean A LOT better at forcing turnovers (which affects QB rating in a big way).</p><p> </p><p>Another stat that I'd found interesting is redzone efficiency. Here're the numbers (again, as of week 16), and I included the 49ers. One caveat: those numbers are calculated if the game was to be (and it will) at Lambeau (a.k.a. home redzone efficiency for the Packers and away redzone efficiency for the 49ers and Saints).</p><p> </p><p>Offensive RZ efficiency (percentage of TDs scored per trip. I'm using TDs and not scoring, because we all know that if a team is held to FGs against us at the RZ, they're gonna lose):</p><p> </p><p>GB - 1st in the league</p><p>NO - 24th in the league</p><p>SF - 30th in the league</p><p> </p><p>Defensive RZ efficiency:</p><p> </p><p>GB - 7th</p><p>SF - 9th</p><p>NO - 31st</p><p> </p><p>That gives validity to some common perceptions. First, that GB is an "opportunistic" defense. Second, that the 49ers offense is terrible in the redzone. But more importantly, that NO, indeed, is another team outside of the Superdome. They go from being the 4th best redzone offense at home and 6th overall, to being 26th. We saw that quite clearly in GB, where the Saints ultimately lost the game because they were unable to convert in the RZ. And their defense is second to last.</p><p> </p><p>All that to say that I like our chances very much. Any given Sunday, and there's no questioning the Saints' talent. But if both teams are able to move past their divisional opponents and reach the NFCC game at Lambeau, the Packers are much more probable to force a turnover than the Saints are, and the Packers are much more probable of holding the Saints to FGs than the Saints are.</p><p> </p><p>As for the Saints x Lions game, I can't see how the Lions can even compete with the Saints, after watching them play against our backups. I had that notion even before, but it only got stronger after sunday. Like I said before, any given sunday, but I expect the game to get out of hand by the middle of the 4th quarter.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="PackersRS, post: 419295, member: 1429"] Here were both teams' standings as of week 16 (before yesterday's meaningless games): Saints' D: 26th in yards allowed 32nd in forced turnovers 15th in points allowed 23rd in opposite QB rating Packers' D: 31st in yards allowed 1st in forced turnovers 12nd in points allowed 8th in opposite QB rating So, they're very similar defenses. The Saints are a little better in allowing yards, while the Packers are a little beter in points allowed, in opposite QB rating, but A LOT, and I mean A LOT better at forcing turnovers (which affects QB rating in a big way). Another stat that I'd found interesting is redzone efficiency. Here're the numbers (again, as of week 16), and I included the 49ers. One caveat: those numbers are calculated if the game was to be (and it will) at Lambeau (a.k.a. home redzone efficiency for the Packers and away redzone efficiency for the 49ers and Saints). Offensive RZ efficiency (percentage of TDs scored per trip. I'm using TDs and not scoring, because we all know that if a team is held to FGs against us at the RZ, they're gonna lose): GB - 1st in the league NO - 24th in the league SF - 30th in the league Defensive RZ efficiency: GB - 7th SF - 9th NO - 31st That gives validity to some common perceptions. First, that GB is an "opportunistic" defense. Second, that the 49ers offense is terrible in the redzone. But more importantly, that NO, indeed, is another team outside of the Superdome. They go from being the 4th best redzone offense at home and 6th overall, to being 26th. We saw that quite clearly in GB, where the Saints ultimately lost the game because they were unable to convert in the RZ. And their defense is second to last. All that to say that I like our chances very much. Any given Sunday, and there's no questioning the Saints' talent. But if both teams are able to move past their divisional opponents and reach the NFCC game at Lambeau, the Packers are much more probable to force a turnover than the Saints are, and the Packers are much more probable of holding the Saints to FGs than the Saints are. As for the Saints x Lions game, I can't see how the Lions can even compete with the Saints, after watching them play against our backups. I had that notion even before, but it only got stronger after sunday. Like I said before, any given sunday, but I expect the game to get out of hand by the middle of the 4th quarter. [/QUOTE]
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