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How to return to contention in 2017
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 690002"><p>In looking at 2017, you have to start with cap commitments.</p><p></p><p>Currently, cap commitments for 2017 total $139.3 million, 10th. highest in the league. And that covers only 37 players. This more than the current top 51 contracts for 2016. Ouch. </p><p></p><p>Assuming $166.0 mil cap for 2017 (as projected by overthecap.com) and the current $9.9 mil carryover (which could shrink if more guys go on IR, that yields $166.0 + $9.9 - $139.3 = $36.6 mil in cap space.</p><p></p><p>Assuming, for the purposes of illustration, all players under contract for 2017 are retained, the following minimum necessary cap subtractions are required:</p><p></p><p>- $3 mil for the top 2 draft picks; maybe more if the Packers move higher with more losses. That brings the player count to 39 and the available cap to $33.6 mil.</p><p></p><p>- If the additional 14 players to fill out the roster were minimum salary rookies (which is hard to envision), that's $465,000 x 14 = a $6.5 mil cap subtraction. That brings available cap to $27.1 mil.</p><p></p><p>- The practice squad takes up about $1 mil in cap; to start the season at least $3 mil (preferably $5 mil) should be kept in reserve for IR replacements. Using $3 mil, that takes available cap down to $24.1 mil.</p><p></p><p>And that $24.1 mil, of course, has no subtractions for signing any free agents. That's not much.</p><p></p><p>Let's assume only Perry and Cook are resigned, with Spriggs taking over at OG. We'll need to see another game or two from Spriggs, but his play last week was a bit of an eye opener. With Lang hitting 30 years old while struggling with injuries this season and last, he might well go the way of Sitton.</p><p></p><p>I would put a conservative figure of $8 mil cap hit for Perry and Cook, with a meaningful Perry signing bonus stretched out over the term of the contract for early relief and Cook on a shorter deal. The way things seem to be going, 4 years, $40 mil may not be enough for Perry.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 690002"] In looking at 2017, you have to start with cap commitments. Currently, cap commitments for 2017 total $139.3 million, 10th. highest in the league. And that covers only 37 players. This more than the current top 51 contracts for 2016. Ouch. Assuming $166.0 mil cap for 2017 (as projected by overthecap.com) and the current $9.9 mil carryover (which could shrink if more guys go on IR, that yields $166.0 + $9.9 - $139.3 = $36.6 mil in cap space. Assuming, for the purposes of illustration, all players under contract for 2017 are retained, the following minimum necessary cap subtractions are required: - $3 mil for the top 2 draft picks; maybe more if the Packers move higher with more losses. That brings the player count to 39 and the available cap to $33.6 mil. - If the additional 14 players to fill out the roster were minimum salary rookies (which is hard to envision), that's $465,000 x 14 = a $6.5 mil cap subtraction. That brings available cap to $27.1 mil. - The practice squad takes up about $1 mil in cap; to start the season at least $3 mil (preferably $5 mil) should be kept in reserve for IR replacements. Using $3 mil, that takes available cap down to $24.1 mil. And that $24.1 mil, of course, has no subtractions for signing any free agents. That's not much. Let's assume only Perry and Cook are resigned, with Spriggs taking over at OG. We'll need to see another game or two from Spriggs, but his play last week was a bit of an eye opener. With Lang hitting 30 years old while struggling with injuries this season and last, he might well go the way of Sitton. I would put a conservative figure of $8 mil cap hit for Perry and Cook, with a meaningful Perry signing bonus stretched out over the term of the contract for early relief and Cook on a shorter deal. The way things seem to be going, 4 years, $40 mil may not be enough for Perry. [/QUOTE]
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